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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM Revenue Multiple | 3,6x - 3,9x | 3,7x |
| Selected Fwd Revenue Multiple | 3,3x - 3,7x | 3,5x |
| Fair Value | 19.484¥ - 21.406¥ | 20.445¥ |
| Upside | -0,8% - 9,0% | 4,1% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
|---|---|---|
| Disco Corporation | 6146 | TSE:6146 |
| SCREEN Holdings Co., Ltd. | 7735 | TSE:7735 |
| Tokyo Seimitsu Co., Ltd. | 7729 | TSE:7729 |
| Japan Electronic Materials Corporation | 6855 | TSE:6855 |
| Micronics Japan Co., Ltd. | 6871 | TSE:6871 |
| Tokyo Electron Limited | 8035 | TSE:8035 |
| Select LTM Revenue Multiple | ||||||||
| Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
| 6146 | 7735 | 7729 | 6855 | 6871 | 8035 | |||
| TSE:6146 | TSE:7735 | TSE:7729 | TSE:6855 | TSE:6871 | TSE:8035 | |||
| Historical Revenue Growth | ||||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 15.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 14.8% | 7.4% | ||
| 3Y CAGR | 18.9% | 16.4% | 11.5% | -1.9% | 11.6% | 9.4% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 33.5% | 30.3% | 12.3% | 15.9% | 45.3% | 26.2% | ||
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | ||||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 35.0% | 13.7% | 19.1% | 13.7% | 15.4% | 26.0% | ||
| Prior Fiscal Year | 38.8% | 16.6% | 23.5% | 15.4% | 13.9% | 28.0% | ||
| Latest Fiscal Year | 39.5% | 18.6% | 18.8% | 5.0% | 22.6% | 24.9% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 42.8% | 21.2% | 20.1% | 18.2% | 22.6% | 28.4% | ||
| Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 7.20x | 1.04x | 1.79x | 0.67x | 1.66x | 3.63x | ||
| EV / LTM EBIT | 16.8x | 4.9x | 8.9x | 3.7x | 7.4x | 12.8x | ||
| Price / LTM Sales | 7.90x | 1.43x | 2.00x | 1.02x | 2.14x | 3.87x | ||
| Low | Mid | High | ||||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM Revenue | 0.67x | 1.66x | 7.20x | |||||
| Historical EV / LTM Revenue | 2.44x | 4.89x | 9.57x | |||||
| Selected EV / LTM Revenue | 3.56x | 3.75x | 3.93x | |||||
| (x) LTM Revenue | 2,323,459 | 2,323,459 | 2,323,459 | |||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 8,271,426 | 8,706,764 | 9,142,102 | |||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | 561,053 | 561,053 | 561,053 | |||||
| (=) Equity Value | 8,832,479 | 9,267,817 | 9,703,155 | |||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 458.1 | 458.1 | 458.1 | |||||
| Implied Value Range | 19,282.14 | 20,232.52 | 21,182.91 | |||||
| FX Rate: JPY/JPY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | ||||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 19,282.14 | 20,232.52 | 21,182.91 | 19,640.00 | ||||
| Upside / (Downside) | -1.8% | 3.0% | 7.9% | |||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | 6146 | 7735 | 7729 | 6855 | 6871 | 8035 | |
| Enterprise Value | 2,693,436 | 640,389 | 266,505 | 13,584 | 92,439 | 8,435,350 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 263,487 | 198,724 | 53,023 | 11,282 | 23,949 | 295,529 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 20,448 | 49,574 | 0 | 531 | 3,914 | 265,524 | |
| (-) Debt | 0 | (5,049) | (20,300) | (4,846) | (1,175) | 0 | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | (322) | (50) | (885) | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 2,977,049 | 883,588 | 298,343 | 20,551 | 119,127 | 8,996,403 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 108.4 | 96.7 | 40.5 | 12.6 | 38.7 | 458.1 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 27,470.00 | 9,133.00 | 7,374.00 | 1,627.00 | 3,075.00 | 19,640.00 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 27,470.00 | 9,133.00 | 7,374.00 | 1,627.00 | 3,075.00 | 19,640.00 | |
| Trading Currency | JPY | JPY | JPY | JPY | JPY | JPY | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |