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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 14,5x - 16,1x | 15,3x |
| Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 14,0x - 15,4x | 14,7x |
| Fair Value | 22.660¥ - 24.916¥ | 23.788¥ |
| Upside | 12,7% - 23,9% | 18,3% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Disco Corporation | 6146 | TSE:6146 |
| SCREEN Holdings Co., Ltd. | 7735 | TSE:7735 |
| Tokyo Seimitsu Co., Ltd. | 7729 | TSE:7729 |
| Japan Electronic Materials Corporation | 6855 | TSE:6855 |
| Tazmo Co., Ltd. | 6266 | TSE:6266 |
| Tokyo Electron Limited | 8035 | TSE:8035 |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| 6146 | 7735 | 7729 | 6855 | 6266 | 8035 | ||
| TSE:6146 | TSE:7735 | TSE:7729 | TSE:6855 | TSE:6266 | TSE:8035 | ||
| Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 25.7% | 26.0% | 4.6% | -2.8% | 44.1% | 8.0% | |
| 3Y CAGR | 31.8% | 56.7% | 17.9% | -31.1% | 41.4% | 12.5% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 51.2% | 57.0% | 16.5% | 337.1% | 61.9% | 42.0% | |
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 35.0% | 13.7% | 19.1% | 13.7% | 11.0% | 26.0% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 38.8% | 16.6% | 23.5% | 15.4% | 13.0% | 28.0% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 39.5% | 18.6% | 18.8% | 5.0% | 16.5% | 24.9% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 42.8% | 21.2% | 20.1% | 18.2% | 16.5% | 28.4% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 8.68x | 1.22x | 2.08x | 0.86x | 0.76x | 4.00x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 18.1x | 5.3x | 8.8x | 3.7x | 4.0x | 13.0x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 20.3x | 5.8x | 10.3x | 4.7x | 4.6x | 14.1x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | 4.6x | 5.8x | 20.3x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBIT | 10.9x | 17.0x | 38.0x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 14.5x | 15.3x | 16.1x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBIT | 658,748 | 658,748 | 658,748 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 9,572,151 | 10,075,949 | 10,579,746 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | 561,053 | 561,053 | 561,053 | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 10,133,204 | 10,637,002 | 11,140,799 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 458.1 | 458.1 | 458.1 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 22,121.75 | 23,221.58 | 24,321.42 | ||||
| FX Rate: JPY/JPY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 22,121.75 | 23,221.58 | 24,321.42 | 20,110.00 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | 10.0% | 15.5% | 20.9% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | 6146 | 7735 | 7729 | 6855 | 6266 | 8035 | |
| Enterprise Value | 2,956,244 | 685,086 | 290,255 | 15,858 | 25,486 | 8,650,640 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 263,487 | 198,724 | 53,023 | 11,282 | 10,343 | 295,529 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 20,448 | 49,574 | 0 | 531 | 461 | 265,524 | |
| (-) Debt | 0 | (5,049) | (20,300) | (4,846) | (8,813) | 0 | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | (322) | (50) | (885) | 0 | (466) | 0 | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 3,239,857 | 928,285 | 322,093 | 22,825 | 27,011 | 9,211,693 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 108.4 | 96.7 | 40.5 | 12.6 | 14.7 | 458.1 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 29,895.00 | 9,595.00 | 7,961.00 | 1,807.00 | 1,843.00 | 20,110.00 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 29,895.00 | 9,595.00 | 7,961.00 | 1,807.00 | 1,843.00 | 20,110.00 | |
| Trading Currency | JPY | JPY | JPY | JPY | JPY | JPY | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |