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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM Revenue Multiple | 0,7x - 0,8x | 0,7x |
| Selected Fwd Revenue Multiple | 0,3x - 0,3x | 0,3x |
| Fair Value | 1.411¥ - 1.554¥ | 1.482¥ |
| Upside | -8,9% - 0,3% | -4,3% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
|---|---|---|
| Garmin Ltd. | GRMN | NYSE:GRMN |
| KOSE R.E. Co.,Ltd. | 3246 | TSE:3246 |
| Rinnai Corporation | 5947 | TSE:5947 |
| LEC, Inc. | 7874 | TSE:7874 |
| Open House Group Co., Ltd. | 3288 | TSE:3288 |
| Nikon Corporation | 7731 | TSE:7731 |
| Select LTM Revenue Multiple | ||||||||
| Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
| GRMN | 3246 | 5947 | 7874 | 3288 | 7731 | |||
| NYSE:GRMN | TSE:3246 | TSE:5947 | TSE:7874 | TSE:3288 | TSE:7731 | |||
| Historical Revenue Growth | ||||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 10.9% | -3.3% | 4.3% | 7.6% | 19.1% | 0.2% | ||
| 3Y CAGR | 8.1% | -12.2% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 16.9% | 16.7% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 20.4% | -24.7% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 0.0% | ||
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | ||||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 23.3% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 5.6% | 11.6% | 3.9% | ||
| Prior Fiscal Year | 20.9% | 15.9% | 9.7% | 1.6% | 12.4% | 9.2% | ||
| Latest Fiscal Year | 25.3% | 4.2% | 9.1% | 2.7% | 9.2% | 5.9% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 25.3% | 4.2% | 10.7% | 3.1% | 9.2% | 2.3% | ||
| Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 5.97x | 0.84x | 0.68x | 0.74x | 0.69x | 0.70x | ||
| EV / LTM EBIT | 23.6x | 20.0x | 6.3x | 23.9x | 7.5x | 30.5x | ||
| Price / LTM Sales | 6.53x | 0.88x | 1.07x | 0.59x | 0.51x | 0.73x | ||
| Low | Mid | High | ||||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM Revenue | 0.68x | 0.74x | 5.97x | |||||
| Historical EV / LTM Revenue | 0.02x | 0.27x | 0.53x | |||||
| Selected EV / LTM Revenue | 0.70x | 0.73x | 0.77x | |||||
| (x) LTM Revenue | 701,004 | 701,004 | 701,004 | |||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 487,757 | 513,428 | 539,100 | |||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | 16,595 | 16,595 | 16,595 | |||||
| (=) Equity Value | 504,352 | 530,023 | 555,695 | |||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 328.8 | 328.8 | 328.8 | |||||
| Implied Value Range | 1,534.02 | 1,612.10 | 1,690.18 | |||||
| FX Rate: JPY/JPY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | ||||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 1,534.02 | 1,612.10 | 1,690.18 | 1,548.50 | ||||
| Upside / (Downside) | -0.9% | 4.1% | 9.1% | |||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | GRMN | 3246 | 5947 | 7874 | 3288 | 7731 | |
| Enterprise Value | 37,573 | 6,425 | 308,123 | 47,865 | 901,184 | 492,519 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 2,501 | 5,353 | 149,005 | 28,784 | 415,281 | 164,920 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 1,198 | 96 | 79,860 | 8,328 | 55,346 | 11,963 | |
| (-) Debt | (163) | (5,124) | 0 | (44,900) | (632,979) | (158,963) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 0 | (57) | (51,332) | (1,380) | (70,749) | (1,325) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 41,109 | 6,693 | 485,656 | 38,697 | 668,083 | 509,114 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 192.4 | 10.2 | 137.9 | 31.2 | 115.6 | 328.8 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 213.66 | 659.00 | 3,523.00 | 1,239.00 | 5,778.00 | 1,548.50 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 213.66 | 659.00 | 3,523.00 | 1,239.00 | 5,778.00 | 1,548.50 | |
| Trading Currency | USD | JPY | JPY | JPY | JPY | JPY | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |