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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 8,3x - 9,2x | 8,8x |
| Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 6,5x - 7,2x | 6,8x |
| Fair Value | 2.710¥ - 2.912¥ | 2.811¥ |
| Upside | 24,6% - 33,9% | 29,2% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| PILLAR Corporation | 6490 | TSE:6490 |
| Valqua, Ltd. | 7995 | TSE:7995 |
| Natoco Co., Ltd. | 4627 | TSE:4627 |
| Tokyo Ohka Kogyo Co., Ltd. | 4186 | TSE:4186 |
| Gun Ei Chemical Industry Co., Ltd. | 4229 | TSE:4229 |
| Osaka Organic Chemical Industry Ltd. | 4187 | TSE:4187 |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| 6490 | 7995 | 4627 | 4186 | 4229 | 4187 | ||
| TSE:6490 | TSE:7995 | TSE:4627 | TSE:4186 | TSE:4229 | TSE:4187 | ||
| Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 22.6% | 4.8% | -4.4% | 28.2% | 11.1% | 4.7% | |
| 3Y CAGR | 43.1% | 26.9% | -15.2% | 16.9% | 7.2% | -7.7% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | -15.6% | -24.7% | 19.3% | 45.7% | -23.1% | 28.8% | |
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 22.4% | 11.0% | 8.0% | 14.5% | 7.8% | 15.2% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 28.4% | 14.3% | 6.2% | 14.0% | 5.3% | 12.4% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 24.2% | 11.5% | 5.9% | 16.5% | 9.0% | 14.1% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 20.6% | 9.7% | 6.6% | 16.5% | 6.8% | 14.1% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 1.03x | 0.82x | -0.05x | 1.30x | 0.36x | 0.86x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 3.7x | 5.9x | -0.5x | 6.3x | 3.0x | 3.6x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 5.0x | 8.5x | -0.7x | 7.9x | 5.3x | 6.1x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | -0.7x | 5.3x | 8.5x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBIT | 5.7x | 11.1x | 13.0x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 8.3x | 8.8x | 9.2x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBIT | 4,608 | 4,608 | 4,608 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 38,313 | 40,330 | 42,346 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | 16,005 | 16,005 | 16,005 | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 54,318 | 56,335 | 58,351 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 20.3 | 20.3 | 20.3 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 2,672.26 | 2,771.46 | 2,870.66 | ||||
| FX Rate: JPY/JPY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 2,672.26 | 2,771.46 | 2,870.66 | 2,175.00 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | 22.9% | 27.4% | 32.0% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | 6490 | 7995 | 4627 | 4186 | 4229 | 4187 | |
| Enterprise Value | 59,663 | 49,831 | (2,347) | 262,113 | (4,910) | 28,206 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 17,193 | 6,085 | 11,758 | 63,046 | 10,289 | 13,047 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 8,568 | 7,798 | 1,313 | 37,039 | 15,631 | 7,187 | |
| (-) Debt | (12,277) | (13,677) | 0 | (10,542) | (698) | (3,525) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 0 | (539) | 0 | (12,818) | (1,838) | (704) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 73,147 | 49,498 | 10,724 | 338,838 | 18,474 | 44,211 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 23.3 | 17.6 | 7.6 | 119.5 | 6.6 | 20.3 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 3,135.00 | 2,813.00 | 1,420.00 | 2,834.50 | 2,785.00 | 2,175.00 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 3,135.00 | 2,813.00 | 1,420.00 | 2,834.50 | 2,785.00 | 2,175.00 | |
| Trading Currency | JPY | JPY | JPY | JPY | JPY | JPY | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |