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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBITDA Multiple | 9,9x - 10,9x | 10,4x |
| Selected Fwd EBITDA Multiple | 7,2x - 7,9x | 7,5x |
| Fair Value | 2.050¥ - 2.305¥ | 2.177¥ |
| Upside | -32,6% - -24,2% | -28,4% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| The Royal Hotel, Limited | 9713 | TSE:9713 |
| Central Sports Co., Ltd. | 4801 | TSE:4801 |
| Hikari Food Service Co., Ltd. | 138A | TSE:138A |
| Wealth Management, Inc. | 3772 | TSE:3772 |
| Yakiniku Sakai Holdings Inc. | 2694 | TSE:2694 |
| WDI Corporation | 3068 | TSE:3068 |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBITDA Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| 9713 | 4801 | 138A | 3772 | 2694 | 3068 | ||
| TSE:9713 | TSE:4801 | TSE:138A | TSE:3772 | TSE:2694 | TSE:3068 | ||
| Historical EBITDA Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | -25.8% | -7.3% | NM- | 29.8% | 5.1% | -3.6% | |
| 3Y CAGR | NM- | 15.6% | NM- | NM- | NM- | NM- | |
| Latest Twelve Months | -95.1% | -21.1% | -9.4% | 18.0% | -12.9% | -22.3% | |
| Historical EBITDA Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | -17.1% | 8.3% | 2.6% | 14.5% | -0.6% | 2.2% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | -6.0% | 7.7% | 15.8% | 26.9% | 1.4% | 5.4% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 3.9% | 9.1% | 12.4% | 11.3% | 4.3% | 6.6% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 0.3% | 7.2% | 12.4% | 10.5% | 3.8% | 4.7% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 0.29x | 0.37x | 0.40x | 1.18x | 0.64x | 0.66x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 99.0x | 5.2x | 3.3x | 11.2x | 17.0x | 14.1x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 9.8x | 9.4x | 4.8x | 12.1x | 30.4x | 26.4x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBITDA | 3.3x | 11.2x | 99.0x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBITDA | -116.2x | 6.3x | 18.1x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBITDA | 9.9x | 10.4x | 10.9x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBITDA | 1,506 | 1,506 | 1,506 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 14,856 | 15,638 | 16,420 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (2,358) | (2,358) | (2,358) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 12,498 | 13,280 | 14,062 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 6.3 | 6.3 | 6.3 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 1,998.16 | 2,123.17 | 2,248.18 | ||||
| FX Rate: JPY/JPY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 1,998.16 | 2,123.17 | 2,248.18 | 3,040.00 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | -34.3% | -30.2% | -26.0% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | 9713 | 4801 | 138A | 3772 | 2694 | 3068 | |
| Enterprise Value | (7,651) | 17,320 | 1,652 | 37,965 | 14,739 | 21,372 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 11,197 | 3,646 | 0 | 6,484 | 4,695 | 5,908 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 14,505 | 10,935 | 0 | 5,225 | 3,455 | 2,247 | |
| (-) Debt | (470) | (5,020) | 0 | (30,687) | (6,170) | (8,663) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | (1,544) | 0 | 0 | 0 | (1) | (1,850) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 16,037 | 26,881 | 1,652 | 18,987 | 16,718 | 19,014 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 15.3 | 11.2 | 1.0 | 19.2 | 235.5 | 6.3 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 1,050.00 | 2,400.00 | 1,665.00 | 990.00 | 71.00 | 3,040.00 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 1,050.00 | 2,400.00 | 1,665.00 | 990.00 | 71.00 | 3,040.00 | |
| Trading Currency | JPY | JPY | JPY | JPY | JPY | JPY | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |