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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM Revenue Multiple | 0,7x - 0,8x | 0,8x |
| Selected Fwd Revenue Multiple | 0,7x - 0,8x | 0,8x |
| Fair Value | 770,67¥ - 916,00¥ | 843,33¥ |
| Upside | -19,6% - -4,5% | -12,1% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
|---|---|---|
| Ichimasa Kamaboko Co., Ltd. | 2904 | TSE:2904 |
| Semba Tohka Industries Co., Ltd | 2916 | TSE:2916 |
| Nitto Fuji Flour Milling Co.,Ltd. | 2003 | TSE:2003 |
| Takizawa Ham Co., Ltd. | 2293 | TSE:2293 |
| Hagoromo Foods Corporation | 2831 | TSE:2831 |
| Akikawa Foods & Farms Co., Ltd. | 1380 | TSE:1380 |
| Select LTM Revenue Multiple | ||||||||
| Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
| 2904 | 2916 | 2003 | 2293 | 2831 | 1380 | |||
| TSE:2904 | TSE:2916 | TSE:2003 | TSE:2293 | TSE:2831 | TSE:1380 | |||
| Historical Revenue Growth | ||||||||
| 5Y CAGR | -0.6% | -1.4% | 5.7% | -2.4% | -1.7% | 5.6% | ||
| 3Y CAGR | -0.2% | -0.7% | 8.7% | -2.5% | -4.1% | 4.8% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 3.3% | -0.3% | -0.9% | -0.8% | 2.6% | 5.5% | ||
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | ||||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 2.9% | 3.8% | 7.5% | -0.1% | 2.5% | 1.4% | ||
| Prior Fiscal Year | -0.7% | 1.4% | 7.6% | -0.7% | -1.6% | 0.3% | ||
| Latest Fiscal Year | 3.6% | 3.6% | 7.2% | 0.5% | 2.5% | 0.2% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 4.0% | 4.0% | 6.7% | -1.1% | 3.8% | -1.5% | ||
| Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 0.63x | 0.23x | 0.65x | 0.25x | 0.20x | 0.84x | ||
| EV / LTM EBIT | 15.9x | 5.7x | 9.8x | -22.5x | 5.4x | -54.2x | ||
| Price / LTM Sales | 0.40x | 0.41x | 0.85x | 0.19x | 0.39x | 0.51x | ||
| Low | Mid | High | ||||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM Revenue | 0.20x | 0.25x | 0.65x | |||||
| Historical EV / LTM Revenue | 0.83x | 0.88x | 0.98x | |||||
| Selected EV / LTM Revenue | 0.74x | 0.78x | 0.82x | |||||
| (x) LTM Revenue | 7,767 | 7,767 | 7,767 | |||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 5,751 | 6,054 | 6,357 | |||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (2,543) | (2,543) | (2,543) | |||||
| (=) Equity Value | 3,208 | 3,511 | 3,814 | |||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 4.2 | 4.2 | 4.2 | |||||
| Implied Value Range | 769.53 | 842.13 | 914.74 | |||||
| FX Rate: JPY/JPY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | ||||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 769.53 | 842.13 | 914.74 | 959.00 | ||||
| Upside / (Downside) | -19.8% | -12.2% | -4.6% | |||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | 2904 | 2916 | 2003 | 2293 | 2831 | 1380 | |
| Enterprise Value | 22,025 | 4,504 | 47,426 | 6,966 | 15,552 | 6,541 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 1,201 | 3,179 | 1,053 | 1,527 | 1,573 | 696 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 2,117 | 4,072 | 13,629 | 2,207 | 16,159 | 302 | |
| (-) Debt | (11,360) | (3,911) | (400) | (5,318) | (3,358) | (3,537) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | (103) | (12) | (66) | 0 | 0 | (4) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 13,880 | 7,832 | 61,642 | 5,382 | 29,926 | 3,998 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 18.4 | 11.4 | 9.1 | 2.1 | 9.4 | 4.2 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 754.00 | 688.00 | 6,770.00 | 2,621.00 | 3,180.00 | 959.00 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 754.00 | 688.00 | 6,770.00 | 2,621.00 | 3,180.00 | 959.00 | |
| Trading Currency | JPY | JPY | JPY | JPY | JPY | JPY | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |