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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM Revenue Multiple | 0,9x - 1,0x | 0,9x |
| Selected Fwd Revenue Multiple | 0,9x - 1,0x | 1,0x |
| Fair Value | 22,39NT$ - 24,05NT$ | 23,22NT$ |
| Upside | -17,8% - -11,7% | -14,8% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
|---|---|---|
| Transcend Information, Inc. | 2451 | TWSE:2451 |
| Silicon Power Computer & Communications Inc. | 4973 | TPEX:4973 |
| Innodisk Corporation | 5289 | TPEX:5289 |
| Promise Technology, Inc. | 3057 | TWSE:3057 |
| Enermax Technology Corporation | 8093 | TPEX:8093 |
| Panram International Corp. | 8088 | TPEX:8088 |
| Select LTM Revenue Multiple | ||||||||
| Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
| 2451 | 4973 | 5289 | 3057 | 8093 | 8088 | |||
| TWSE:2451 | TPEX:4973 | TPEX:5289 | TWSE:3057 | TPEX:8093 | TPEX:8088 | |||
| Historical Revenue Growth | ||||||||
| 5Y CAGR | -5.7% | 2.7% | 3.9% | -14.4% | -10.0% | -7.2% | ||
| 3Y CAGR | -11.0% | 1.6% | -4.4% | -15.5% | -18.7% | -16.4% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | -3.9% | -2.0% | 7.2% | -1.9% | -23.2% | -29.4% | ||
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | ||||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 16.0% | 1.8% | 17.7% | -11.9% | -23.1% | 8.2% | ||
| Prior Fiscal Year | 18.0% | 3.1% | 16.6% | -21.0% | -26.2% | 11.0% | ||
| Latest Fiscal Year | 18.9% | 1.7% | 13.2% | -20.8% | -69.9% | -4.3% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 18.9% | 1.7% | 13.2% | -20.8% | -69.9% | -4.3% | ||
| Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 3.34x | 0.23x | 2.19x | 1.15x | 3.57x | 1.17x | ||
| EV / LTM EBIT | 17.7x | 13.7x | 16.6x | -5.5x | -5.1x | -27.0x | ||
| Price / LTM Sales | 4.35x | 0.38x | 2.46x | 1.31x | 3.73x | 1.54x | ||
| Low | Mid | High | ||||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM Revenue | 0.23x | 2.19x | 3.57x | |||||
| Historical EV / LTM Revenue | 0.54x | 0.92x | 1.45x | |||||
| Selected EV / LTM Revenue | 0.89x | 0.93x | 0.98x | |||||
| (x) LTM Revenue | 1,076 | 1,076 | 1,076 | |||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 953 | 1,003 | 1,053 | |||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | 400 | 400 | 400 | |||||
| (=) Equity Value | 1,352 | 1,403 | 1,453 | |||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 60.9 | 60.9 | 60.9 | |||||
| Implied Value Range | 22.20 | 23.02 | 23.85 | |||||
| FX Rate: TWD/TWD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | ||||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 22.20 | 23.02 | 23.85 | 27.25 | ||||
| Upside / (Downside) | -18.5% | -15.5% | -12.5% | |||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | 2451 | 4973 | 5289 | 3057 | 8093 | 8088 | |
| Enterprise Value | 33,669 | 997 | 19,441 | 661 | 882 | 1,261 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 7,715 | 340 | 3,158 | 362 | 131 | 383 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 2,568 | 724 | 65 | 0 | 1 | 35 | |
| (-) Debt | (108) | (384) | (579) | (272) | (93) | (18) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 0 | 0 | (182) | (0) | (0) | 0 | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 43,844 | 1,677 | 21,904 | 751 | 920 | 1,660 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 429.8 | 65.4 | 91.5 | 92.7 | 60.9 | 60.9 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 102.00 | 25.65 | 239.50 | 8.10 | 15.10 | 27.25 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 102.00 | 25.65 | 239.50 | 8.10 | 15.10 | 27.25 | |
| Trading Currency | TWD | TWD | TWD | TWD | TWD | TWD | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |