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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBITDA Multiple | 17,8x - 19,6x | 18,7x |
| Selected Fwd EBITDA Multiple | 10,7x - 11,8x | 11,2x |
| Fair Value | 20,56¥ - 22,49¥ | 21,53¥ |
| Upside | -22,5% - -15,2% | -18,9% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Oppein Home Group Inc. | 603833 | SHSE:603833 |
| Xilinmen Furniture Co.,Ltd | 603008 | SHSE:603008 |
| Qu Mei Home Furnishings Group Co.,Ltd | 603818 | SHSE:603818 |
| Tonze New Energy Technology Co.,Ltd. | 2759 | SZSE:002759 |
| Suofeiya Home Collection Co., Ltd. | 2572 | SZSE:002572 |
| DBG Technology Co., Ltd. | 300735 | SZSE:300735 |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBITDA Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| 603833 | 603008 | 603818 | 2759 | 2572 | 300735 | ||
| SHSE:603833 | SHSE:603008 | SHSE:603818 | SZSE:002759 | SZSE:002572 | SZSE:300735 | ||
| Historical EBITDA Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 13.7% | 143.6% | -8.7% | 3.8% | 6.9% | 16.3% | |
| 3Y CAGR | 12.4% | 2.2% | -37.4% | 32.1% | 5.4% | 18.9% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | -4.2% | 45.3% | 54.1% | -157.8% | -0.3% | 8.5% | |
| Historical EBITDA Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 16.9% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 16.2% | 17.1% | 18.1% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 15.3% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 21.6% | 15.2% | 16.4% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 17.2% | 7.6% | 4.0% | 7.8% | 17.3% | 15.3% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 18.0% | 7.5% | 4.7% | -4.2% | 17.6% | 11.0% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 1.83x | 0.79x | 1.17x | 1.96x | 1.40x | 2.62x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 10.1x | 10.6x | 25.1x | -46.7x | 8.0x | 23.8x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 13.1x | 13.9x | -88.8x | -16.8x | 10.3x | 44.8x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBITDA | -46.7x | 10.1x | 25.1x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBITDA | 6.9x | 19.7x | 22.3x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBITDA | 17.8x | 18.7x | 19.6x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBITDA | 787 | 787 | 787 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 13,983 | 14,719 | 15,454 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | 1,684 | 1,684 | 1,684 | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 15,666 | 16,402 | 17,138 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 767.5 | 767.5 | 767.5 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 20.41 | 21.37 | 22.33 | ||||
| FX Rate: CNY/CNY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 20.41 | 21.37 | 22.33 | 26.54 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | -23.1% | -19.5% | -15.9% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | 603833 | 603008 | 603818 | 2759 | 2572 | 300735 | |
| Enterprise Value | 36,430 | 6,794 | 4,367 | 3,923 | 15,549 | 18,685 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 12,304 | 1,779 | 896 | 979 | 2,910 | 2,691 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 288 | 266 | 3 | 103 | 855 | 0 | |
| (-) Debt | (10,670) | (2,230) | (3,152) | (744) | (3,218) | (574) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | (7) | (147) | (137) | (523) | (302) | (434) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 38,344 | 6,462 | 1,976 | 3,737 | 15,794 | 20,368 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 605.7 | 379.0 | 683.8 | 491.8 | 963.0 | 767.5 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 63.30 | 17.05 | 2.89 | 7.60 | 16.40 | 26.54 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 63.30 | 17.05 | 2.89 | 7.60 | 16.40 | 26.54 | |
| Trading Currency | CNY | CNY | CNY | CNY | CNY | CNY | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |