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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 38,1x - 42,1x | 40,1x |
Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 34,3x - 38,0x | 36,2x |
Fair Value | 30,91¥ - 34,16¥ | 32,53¥ |
Upside | -1,5% - 8,9% | 3,7% |
Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
Qinchuan Machine Tool & Tool Group Share Co., Ltd. | 837 | SZSE:000837 |
Sichuan Crun Co., Ltd | 2272 | SZSE:002272 |
Rayhoo Motor Dies Co.,Ltd. | 2997 | SZSE:002997 |
Chongqing Mas Sci.&Tech.Co.,Ltd. | 300275 | SZSE:300275 |
Hwaway Technology Corporation Limited | 1380 | SZSE:001380 |
Shenzhen Envicool Technology Co., Ltd. | 2837 | SZSE:002837 |
- | - | - |
Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
837 | 2272 | 2997 | 300275 | 1380 | 2837 | ||
SZSE:000837 | SZSE:002272 | SZSE:002997 | SZSE:300275 | SZSE:001380 | SZSE:002837 | ||
Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
5Y CAGR | NM- | NM- | 22.6% | 22.0% | 42.0% | 33.2% | |
3Y CAGR | NM- | NM- | 74.3% | 35.4% | 54.1% | 35.3% | |
Latest Twelve Months | -166.4% | -365.1% | 127.2% | 29.1% | 39.4% | 32.2% | |
Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
5 Year Average Margin | -0.4% | 1.7% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 13.2% | 11.2% | |
Prior Fiscal Year | -0.4% | 0.0% | 8.1% | 11.8% | 13.9% | 12.9% | |
Latest Fiscal Year | -1.0% | -2.0% | 14.3% | 13.1% | 13.0% | 13.1% | |
Latest Twelve Months | -1.0% | -2.5% | 14.3% | 13.1% | 13.0% | 13.1% | |
Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
EV / LTM Revenue | 2.87x | 3.12x | 3.01x | 7.40x | 2.85x | 5.46x | |
EV / LTM EBITDA | 64.6x | 181.7x | 16.7x | 46.0x | 18.2x | 36.6x | |
EV / LTM EBIT | -295.8x | -126.5x | 21.0x | 56.4x | 22.0x | 38.5x | |
Low | Mid | High | |||||
Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | -295.8x | 21.0x | 56.4x | ||||
Historical EV / LTM EBIT | 36.6x | 41.2x | 96.6x | ||||
Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 38.1x | 40.1x | 42.1x | ||||
(x) LTM EBIT | 602 | 602 | 602 | ||||
(=) Implied Enterprise Value | 22,934 | 24,141 | 25,348 | ||||
(-) Non-shareholder Claims * | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
(=) Equity Value | 22,934 | 24,141 | 25,348 | ||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 744.5 | 744.5 | 744.5 | ||||
Implied Value Range | 30.81 | 32.43 | 34.05 | ||||
FX Rate: CNY/CNY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 30.81 | 32.43 | 34.05 | 31.37 | |||
Upside / (Downside) | -1.8% | 3.4% | 8.5% |
Equity Waterfall | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | 837 | 2272 | 2997 | 300275 | 1380 | 2837 | |
Enterprise Value | 12,167 | 5,042 | 7,297 | 3,715 | 5,309 | 23,354 | |
(+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 1,646 | 358 | 850 | 77 | 486 | 0 | |
(+) Investments & Other | 47 | 16 | 530 | 154 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Debt | (951) | (982) | (291) | (135) | (127) | 0 | |
(-) Other Liabilities | (648) | (21) | (306) | (0) | (21) | 0 | |
(-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Value of Common Equity | 12,260 | 4,412 | 8,080 | 3,811 | 5,646 | 23,354 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 1,007.4 | 484.9 | 209.3 | 302.5 | 182.4 | 744.5 | |
Implied Stock Price | 12.17 | 9.10 | 38.60 | 12.60 | 30.95 | 31.37 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 12.17 | 9.10 | 38.60 | 12.60 | 30.95 | 31.37 | |
Trading Currency | CNY | CNY | CNY | CNY | CNY | CNY | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |