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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 31,0x - 34,2x | 32,6x |
| Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 36,3x - 40,2x | 38,2x |
| Fair Value | 14,37¥ - 15,81¥ | 15,09¥ |
| Upside | -3,6% - 6,1% | 1,2% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Dayu Irrigation Group Co.,Ltd | 300021 | SZSE:300021 |
| Fujian South Highway Machinery Co., Ltd. | 603280 | SHSE:603280 |
| WELLE Environmental Group Co.,Ltd | 300190 | SZSE:300190 |
| Shenzhen Envicool Technology Co., Ltd. | 2837 | SZSE:002837 |
| Jiangsu Newamstar Packaging Machinery Co.,Ltd | 300509 | SZSE:300509 |
| Sinomach Precision Industry Group Co., Ltd. | 2046 | SZSE:002046 |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| 300021 | 603280 | 300190 | 2837 | 300509 | 2046 | ||
| SZSE:300021 | SHSE:603280 | SZSE:300190 | SZSE:002837 | SZSE:300509 | SZSE:002046 | ||
| Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | -3.5% | 4.3% | NM- | 33.2% | -2.9% | 26.0% | |
| 3Y CAGR | -2.1% | -12.0% | NM- | 35.3% | -23.6% | 24.9% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 29.2% | 8.9% | 14.7% | 32.2% | 128.2% | 9.6% | |
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 7.8% | 9.3% | 3.1% | 11.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 5.6% | 8.1% | -8.7% | 12.9% | 3.7% | 7.6% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 5.7% | 9.2% | -8.0% | 13.1% | 4.6% | 8.7% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 5.7% | 8.7% | -8.0% | 13.1% | 5.8% | 8.7% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 1.49x | 1.58x | 1.92x | 5.46x | 1.93x | 2.88x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 31.8x | 15.9x | 29.5x | 36.6x | 54.8x | 19.6x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 42.8x | 18.3x | -15.5x | 38.5x | 206.2x | 32.9x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | -15.5x | 38.5x | 206.2x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBIT | 28.8x | 38.6x | 40.6x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 31.0x | 32.6x | 34.2x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBIT | 232 | 232 | 232 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 7,198 | 7,577 | 7,955 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | 364 | 364 | 364 | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 7,561 | 7,940 | 8,319 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 536.3 | 536.3 | 536.3 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 14.10 | 14.81 | 15.51 | ||||
| FX Rate: CNY/CNY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 14.10 | 14.81 | 15.51 | 14.90 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | -5.4% | -0.6% | 4.1% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | 300021 | 603280 | 300190 | 2837 | 300509 | 2046 | |
| Enterprise Value | 4,009 | 1,692 | 3,913 | 23,354 | 1,947 | 7,627 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 0 | 811 | 674 | 0 | 689 | 1,158 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 0 | 0 | 568 | 0 | 15 | 213 | |
| (-) Debt | 0 | (5) | (2,820) | 0 | (307) | (731) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 0 | 0 | (115) | 0 | (32) | (277) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 4,009 | 2,498 | 2,221 | 23,354 | 2,312 | 7,990 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 844.0 | 108.4 | 750.2 | 744.5 | 296.4 | 536.3 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 4.75 | 23.04 | 2.96 | 31.37 | 7.80 | 14.90 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 4.75 | 23.04 | 2.96 | 31.37 | 7.80 | 14.90 | |
| Trading Currency | CNY | CNY | CNY | CNY | CNY | CNY | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |