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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 54,6x - 60,3x | 57,4x |
| Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 29,6x - 32,8x | 31,2x |
| Fair Value | 86,53¥ - 95,07¥ | 90,80¥ |
| Upside | 9,7% - 20,5% | 15,1% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Shenzhen Han's CNC Technology Co., Ltd. | 301200 | SZSE:301200 |
| HuiZhou Intelligence Technology Group Co., Ltd | 2122 | SZSE:002122 |
| China Western Power Industrial Co., Ltd. | 2630 | SZSE:002630 |
| Beijing SinoHytec Co., Ltd. | 688339 | SHSE:688339 |
| Nantong Guosheng Intelligence Technology Group Co., Ltd. | 688558 | SHSE:688558 |
| KEDE Numerical Control Co., Ltd. | 688305 | SHSE:688305 |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| 301200 | 2122 | 2630 | 688339 | 688558 | 688305 | ||
| SZSE:301200 | SZSE:002122 | SZSE:002630 | SHSE:688339 | SHSE:688558 | SHSE:688305 | ||
| Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | -28.7% | NM- | 17.3% | NM- | 10.2% | 47.5% | |
| 3Y CAGR | -45.0% | NM- | NM- | NM- | -9.9% | 38.7% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | -31.7% | -459.1% | 171.5% | -61.1% | 10.6% | 51.0% | |
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 13.4% | -5.4% | -19.3% | -33.3% | 14.5% | 21.1% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 19.6% | -12.7% | -52.4% | -37.8% | 11.8% | 21.8% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 3.4% | -5.7% | 5.3% | -132.9% | 13.9% | 24.6% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 5.3% | -14.7% | 16.3% | -132.9% | 13.9% | 24.6% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 4.93x | 7.46x | 4.01x | 10.88x | 2.62x | 12.42x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 84.9x | -62.3x | 21.8x | -9.6x | 14.9x | 42.1x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 92.7x | -50.7x | 24.6x | -8.2x | 18.8x | 50.4x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | -50.7x | 18.8x | 92.7x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBIT | 50.4x | 104.3x | 225.9x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 54.6x | 57.4x | 60.3x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBIT | 149 | 149 | 149 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 8,136 | 8,564 | 8,992 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | 549 | 549 | 549 | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 8,685 | 9,113 | 9,541 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 102.2 | 102.2 | 102.2 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 84.95 | 89.14 | 93.33 | ||||
| FX Rate: CNY/CNY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 84.95 | 89.14 | 93.33 | 78.91 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | 7.7% | 13.0% | 18.3% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | 301200 | 2122 | 2630 | 688339 | 688558 | 688305 | |
| Enterprise Value | 14,268 | 6,471 | 10,064 | 3,942 | 2,698 | 7,518 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 1,174 | 518 | 177 | 1,450 | 120 | 558 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 47 | 1,532 | 168 | 446 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Debt | (107) | (181) | (4,989) | (813) | (49) | (8) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | (11) | (178) | (141) | (282) | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 15,372 | 8,162 | 5,278 | 4,742 | 2,769 | 8,067 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 420.0 | 2,000.5 | 1,180.8 | 231.7 | 131.0 | 102.2 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 36.60 | 4.08 | 4.47 | 20.47 | 21.14 | 78.91 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 36.60 | 4.08 | 4.47 | 20.47 | 21.14 | 78.91 | |
| Trading Currency | CNY | CNY | CNY | CNY | CNY | CNY | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |