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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM Revenue Multiple | 1,6x - 1,8x | 1,7x |
| Selected Fwd Revenue Multiple | 2,2x - 2,4x | 2,3x |
| Fair Value | 5,55¥ - 6,06¥ | 5,81¥ |
| Upside | -7,9% - 0,6% | -3,7% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
|---|---|---|
| Beijing Caishikou Department Store Co.,Ltd. | 605599 | SHSE:605599 |
| Shanghai Aiyingshi Co.,Ltd | 603214 | SHSE:603214 |
| Hla Group Corp., Ltd. | 600398 | SHSE:600398 |
| Zhongsheng Group Holdings Limited | 881 | SEHK:881 |
| China Yongda Automobiles Services Holdings Limited | 3669 | SEHK:3669 |
| Leysen Jewellery Inc. | 603900 | SHSE:603900 |
| Select LTM Revenue Multiple | ||||||||
| Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
| 605599 | 603214 | 600398 | 881 | 3669 | 603900 | |||
| SHSE:605599 | SHSE:603214 | SHSE:600398 | SEHK:881 | SEHK:3669 | SHSE:603900 | |||
| Historical Revenue Growth | ||||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 14.0% | 9.3% | 2.4% | 10.7% | 5.6% | -15.1% | ||
| 3Y CAGR | 32.8% | 13.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 2.1% | -15.8% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 31.6% | -1.2% | 3.7% | 2.3% | -11.0% | 49.0% | ||
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | ||||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 5.7% | 4.6% | 15.3% | 5.7% | 3.3% | -1.3% | ||
| Prior Fiscal Year | 5.3% | 3.7% | 15.5% | 5.5% | 3.2% | -7.0% | ||
| Latest Fiscal Year | 5.5% | 3.7% | 16.6% | 4.4% | 1.1% | -14.5% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 4.6% | 3.1% | 14.0% | 3.3% | 0.7% | -11.4% | ||
| Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 0.34x | 0.89x | 1.62x | 0.26x | 0.11x | 1.78x | ||
| EV / LTM EBIT | 7.5x | 28.7x | 11.6x | 7.9x | 15.8x | -15.6x | ||
| Price / LTM Sales | 0.46x | 0.86x | 1.86x | 0.17x | 0.07x | 2.01x | ||
| Low | Mid | High | ||||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM Revenue | 0.11x | 0.34x | 1.62x | |||||
| Historical EV / LTM Revenue | 1.58x | 1.61x | 2.47x | |||||
| Selected EV / LTM Revenue | 1.63x | 1.71x | 1.80x | |||||
| (x) LTM Revenue | 1,049 | 1,049 | 1,049 | |||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 1,705 | 1,794 | 1,884 | |||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | 239 | 239 | 239 | |||||
| (=) Equity Value | 1,943 | 2,033 | 2,123 | |||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 338.6 | 338.6 | 338.6 | |||||
| Implied Value Range | 5.74 | 6.01 | 6.27 | |||||
| FX Rate: CNY/CNY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | ||||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 5.74 | 6.01 | 6.27 | 6.03 | ||||
| Upside / (Downside) | -4.8% | -0.4% | 4.0% | |||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | 605599 | 603214 | 600398 | 881 | 3669 | 603900 | |
| Enterprise Value | 6,696 | 3,055 | 34,679 | 47,114 | 7,266 | 1,803 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 2,497 | 521 | 6,391 | 21,328 | 1,728 | 310 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 10 | 42 | 537 | 138 | 1,247 | 0 | |
| (-) Debt | (133) | (637) | (1,542) | (37,300) | (5,102) | (72) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | (9) | (43) | (298) | (166) | (393) | 1 | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 9,061 | 2,937 | 39,767 | 31,114 | 4,747 | 2,041 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 777.8 | 138.5 | 4,802.8 | 2,367.0 | 1,876.2 | 338.6 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 11.65 | 21.20 | 8.28 | 13.15 | 2.53 | 6.03 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.93 | 0.93 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 11.65 | 21.20 | 8.28 | 14.08 | 2.71 | 6.03 | |
| Trading Currency | CNY | CNY | CNY | HKD | HKD | CNY | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.93 | 0.93 | 1.00 | |