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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBITDA Multiple | 469,2x - 518,6x | 493,9x |
| Selected Fwd EBITDA Multiple | 12,4x - 13,7x | 13,1x |
| Fair Value | 9,88¥ - 10,67¥ | 10,27¥ |
| Upside | -20,5% - -14,1% | -17,3% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| WEILONG Delicious Global Holdings Ltd | 9985 | SEHK:9985 |
| Juewei Food Co., Ltd. | 603517 | SHSE:603517 |
| YouYou Foods Co., Ltd. | 603697 | SHSE:603697 |
| Want Want China Holdings Limited | 151 | SEHK:151 |
| Jiangsu Chinagreen Biological Technology Group Co., Ltd. | 300970 | SZSE:300970 |
| Bestore Co.,Ltd | 603719 | SHSE:603719 |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBITDA Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| 9985 | 603517 | 603697 | 151 | 300970 | 603719 | ||
| SEHK:9985 | SHSE:603517 | SHSE:603697 | SEHK:151 | SZSE:300970 | SHSE:603719 | ||
| Historical EBITDA Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | NM- | -0.6% | -3.1% | 2.4% | NM- | -11.9% | |
| 3Y CAGR | 3.0% | -9.4% | -8.4% | -1.2% | -10.0% | -23.9% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 25.1% | 34.2% | 30.2% | 6.5% | -71.7% | -97.3% | |
| Historical EBITDA Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 20.8% | 16.2% | 17.9% | 26.1% | 18.1% | 3.6% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 24.8% | 9.3% | 13.9% | 23.3% | 20.2% | 3.2% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 24.1% | 12.1% | 14.8% | 25.6% | 14.6% | 2.4% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 24.1% | 15.3% | 14.8% | 26.3% | 5.3% | 0.1% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 4.70x | 1.03x | 2.62x | 1.91x | 1.73x | 0.53x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 17.6x | 6.7x | 17.8x | 7.3x | 32.5x | 658.5x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 19.3x | 8.3x | 21.3x | 8.3x | -21.2x | -60.3x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBITDA | 6.7x | 17.6x | 32.5x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBITDA | 31.8x | 45.2x | 62.5x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBITDA | 469.2x | 493.9x | 518.6x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBITDA | 6 | 6 | 6 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 2,856 | 3,007 | 3,157 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | 938 | 938 | 938 | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 3,795 | 3,945 | 4,096 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 398.0 | 398.0 | 398.0 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 9.54 | 9.91 | 10.29 | ||||
| FX Rate: CNY/CNY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 9.54 | 9.91 | 10.29 | 12.42 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | -23.2% | -20.2% | -17.1% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | 9985 | 603517 | 603697 | 151 | 300970 | 603719 | |
| Enterprise Value | 26,246 | 6,813 | 3,052 | 44,597 | 1,696 | 4,005 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 2,388 | 992 | 1,068 | 7,856 | 337 | 1,405 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 2,879 | 2,648 | 51 | 7,796 | 0 | 80 | |
| (-) Debt | (418) | (956) | (4) | (6,462) | (600) | (551) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | (9) | 54 | 0 | (5) | (25) | 4 | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 31,086 | 9,551 | 4,166 | 53,782 | 1,408 | 4,943 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 2,351.1 | 606.0 | 427.7 | 11,803.1 | 117.9 | 398.0 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 13.22 | 15.76 | 9.74 | 4.56 | 11.95 | 12.42 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 0.93 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.93 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 14.16 | 15.76 | 9.74 | 4.88 | 11.95 | 12.42 | |
| Trading Currency | HKD | CNY | CNY | HKD | CNY | CNY | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 0.93 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.93 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |