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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM Revenue Multiple | 5,6x - 6,2x | 5,9x |
| Selected Fwd Revenue Multiple | 5,5x - 6,1x | 5,8x |
| Fair Value | 0,17฿ - 0,21฿ | 0,19฿ |
| Upside | -16,4% - 4,3% | -6,1% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
|---|---|---|
| Ananda Development Public Company Limited | ANAN | SET:ANAN |
| Raimon Land Public Company Limited | RML | SET:RML |
| Prinsiri Public Company Limited | PRIN | SET:PRIN |
| Property Perfect Public Company Limited | PF | SET:PF |
| Origin Property Public Company Limited | ORI | SET:ORI |
| Stella X Public Company Limited | STELLA | SET:STELLA |
| Select LTM Revenue Multiple | ||||||||
| Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
| ANAN | RML | PRIN | PF | ORI | STELLA | |||
| SET:ANAN | SET:RML | SET:PRIN | SET:PF | SET:ORI | SET:STELLA | |||
| Historical Revenue Growth | ||||||||
| 5Y CAGR | -2.2% | -40.2% | 2.4% | -15.2% | -4.4% | -6.9% | ||
| 3Y CAGR | 19.6% | -52.3% | -3.9% | -2.5% | -10.5% | -13.1% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 89.0% | 27.2% | -10.0% | -17.6% | -22.0% | -18.3% | ||
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | ||||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | -11.8% | -87.9% | 19.5% | -2.9% | 24.6% | -39.8% | ||
| Prior Fiscal Year | -36.5% | -174.2% | 20.4% | 2.6% | 23.2% | -51.5% | ||
| Latest Fiscal Year | 7.3% | -129.1% | 12.7% | -4.0% | 9.3% | -189.8% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 7.3% | -129.1% | 12.7% | -4.0% | 9.3% | -189.8% | ||
| Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 1.59x | 7.94x | 3.81x | 2.79x | 2.75x | 6.03x | ||
| EV / LTM EBIT | 21.8x | -6.2x | 30.1x | -69.0x | 29.5x | -3.2x | ||
| Price / LTM Sales | 0.28x | 3.55x | 0.93x | 0.10x | 0.41x | 2.83x | ||
| Low | Mid | High | ||||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM Revenue | 1.59x | 2.79x | 7.94x | |||||
| Historical EV / LTM Revenue | 2.60x | 7.03x | 8.81x | |||||
| Selected EV / LTM Revenue | 5.64x | 5.94x | 6.24x | |||||
| (x) LTM Revenue | 1,038 | 1,038 | 1,038 | |||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 5,858 | 6,166 | 6,474 | |||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (3,317) | (3,317) | (3,317) | |||||
| (=) Equity Value | 2,540 | 2,848 | 3,157 | |||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 14,707.2 | 14,707.2 | 14,707.2 | |||||
| Implied Value Range | 0.17 | 0.19 | 0.21 | |||||
| FX Rate: THB/THB | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | ||||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 0.17 | 0.19 | 0.21 | 0.20 | ||||
| Upside / (Downside) | -13.6% | -3.2% | 7.3% | |||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | ANAN | RML | PRIN | PF | ORI | STELLA | |
| Enterprise Value | 10,253 | 2,075 | 7,643 | 24,912 | 30,083 | 6,259 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 1,156 | 383 | 78 | 1,472 | 1,592 | 84 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 4,327 | 1,957 | 64 | 1,880 | 10,893 | 913 | |
| (-) Debt | (13,486) | (3,461) | (5,906) | (25,904) | (36,104) | (4,150) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | (459) | (27) | 0 | (1,459) | (1,951) | (165) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 1,791 | 927 | 1,879 | 901 | 4,516 | 2,941 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 4,166.3 | 5,795.2 | 1,220.0 | 10,011.1 | 2,454.1 | 14,707.2 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 0.43 | 0.16 | 1.54 | 0.09 | 1.84 | 0.20 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 0.43 | 0.16 | 1.54 | 0.09 | 1.84 | 0.20 | |
| Trading Currency | THB | THB | THB | THB | THB | THB | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |