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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBITDA Multiple | 21,1x - 23,3x | 22,2x |
| Selected Fwd EBITDA Multiple | 12,9x - 14,3x | 13,6x |
| Fair Value | 14,06﷼ - 15,65﷼ | 14,85﷼ |
| Upside | -15,8% - -6,3% | -11,1% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Sumou Real Estate Company | 4323 | SASE:4323 |
| Arriyadh Development Co. | 4150 | SASE:4150 |
| View United Real Estate Development Co. | 9591 | SASE:9591 |
| Enma Al Rawabi Company | 9521 | SASE:9521 |
| Dar Al Arkan Real Estate Development Company | 4300 | SASE:4300 |
| Retal Urban Development Company | 4322 | SASE:4322 |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBITDA Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| 4323 | 4150 | 9591 | 9521 | 4300 | 4322 | ||
| SASE:4323 | SASE:4150 | SASE:9591 | SASE:9521 | SASE:4300 | SASE:4322 | ||
| Historical EBITDA Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 6.6% | -3.7% | NM- | 7.4% | 14.4% | 48.2% | |
| 3Y CAGR | 29.4% | -2.6% | NM- | 17.2% | 23.6% | 23.9% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 12.1% | -16.5% | 0.0% | 86.0% | 51.6% | 40.1% | |
| Historical EBITDA Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 46.2% | 62.3% | 20.2% | 80.2% | 30.4% | 18.7% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 37.8% | 54.7% | 15.4% | 87.3% | 33.6% | 18.6% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 27.0% | 48.2% | 21.4% | 86.9% | 36.7% | 17.3% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 27.0% | 48.2% | 22.6% | 60.4% | 36.7% | 17.3% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 4.55x | 17.64x | 2.94x | 9.65x | 6.72x | 4.30x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 16.8x | 36.6x | 13.0x | 16.0x | 18.3x | 24.9x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 17.0x | 49.4x | 13.1x | 17.9x | 18.9x | 26.1x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBITDA | 13.0x | 16.8x | 36.6x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBITDA | 17.3x | 21.3x | 24.9x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBITDA | 21.1x | 22.2x | 23.3x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBITDA | 356 | 356 | 356 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 7,519 | 7,914 | 8,310 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (533) | (533) | (533) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 6,986 | 7,381 | 7,777 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 499.2 | 499.2 | 499.2 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 13.99 | 14.79 | 15.58 | ||||
| FX Rate: SAR/SAR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 13.99 | 14.79 | 15.58 | 16.70 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | -16.2% | -11.5% | -6.7% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | 4323 | 4150 | 9591 | 9521 | 4300 | 4322 | |
| Enterprise Value | 1,954 | 5,672 | 233 | 1,265 | 25,254 | 8,870 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 199 | 341 | 34 | 37 | 6,725 | 918 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 0 | 1,386 | 1 | 0 | 2,819 | 329 | |
| (-) Debt | (20) | (54) | (35) | (170) | (11,442) | (1,772) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | (6) | (9) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 2,133 | 7,345 | 234 | 1,132 | 23,350 | 8,337 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 50.0 | 233.9 | 33.0 | 40.0 | 1,080.0 | 499.2 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 42.65 | 31.40 | 7.09 | 28.30 | 21.62 | 16.70 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 42.65 | 31.40 | 7.09 | 28.30 | 21.62 | 16.70 | |
| Trading Currency | SAR | SAR | SAR | SAR | SAR | SAR | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |