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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 10,4x - 11,5x | 11,0x |
| Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 17,4x - 19,3x | 18,3x |
| Fair Value | 24,43﷼ - 29,67﷼ | 27,05﷼ |
| Upside | -45,9% - -34,3% | -40,1% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Jabal Omar Development Company | 4250 | SASE:4250 |
| Emaar The Economic City | 4220 | SASE:4220 |
| Dar Al Arkan Real Estate Development Company | 4300 | SASE:4300 |
| Knowledge Economic City Company | 4310 | SASE:4310 |
| Retal Urban Development Company | 4322 | SASE:4322 |
| Red Sea International Company | 4230 | SASE:4230 |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| 4250 | 4220 | 4300 | 4310 | 4322 | 4230 | ||
| SASE:4250 | SASE:4220 | SASE:4300 | SASE:4310 | SASE:4322 | SASE:4230 | ||
| Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | NM- | NM- | 15.5% | NM- | 47.9% | NM- | |
| 3Y CAGR | NM- | NM- | 24.9% | NM- | 23.2% | NM- | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 28.6% | -369.9% | 54.2% | 65.7% | 38.8% | 244.9% | |
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | -212.9% | -127.3% | 28.7% | -65.1% | 18.0% | -19.2% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 22.9% | 15.7% | 32.0% | -63.8% | 17.9% | -46.0% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 20.6% | -102.6% | 35.5% | -9.2% | 16.4% | 4.3% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 20.6% | -102.6% | 35.5% | -9.2% | 16.4% | 4.6% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 20.51x | 30.11x | 7.07x | 38.24x | 4.49x | 0.68x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 49.9x | -64.4x | 19.3x | -502.1x | 26.0x | 7.6x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 99.7x | -29.3x | 19.9x | -415.7x | 27.3x | 14.8x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | -415.7x | 19.9x | 99.7x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBIT | -18.4x | -11.3x | -5.4x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 10.4x | 11.0x | 11.5x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBIT | 145 | 145 | 145 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 1,512 | 1,591 | 1,671 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (768) | (768) | (768) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 744 | 823 | 903 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 30.2 | 30.2 | 30.2 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 24.60 | 27.23 | 29.86 | ||||
| FX Rate: SAR/SAR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 24.60 | 27.23 | 29.86 | 45.15 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | -45.5% | -39.7% | -33.9% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | 4250 | 4220 | 4300 | 4310 | 4322 | 4230 | |
| Enterprise Value | 38,860 | 12,825 | 26,571 | 6,073 | 9,260 | 2,133 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 864 | 252 | 6,725 | 104 | 918 | 214 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 141 | 2,712 | 2,819 | 143 | 329 | 6 | |
| (-) Debt | (12,109) | (8,108) | (11,442) | (1,444) | (1,772) | (515) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | (2) | 0 | (6) | (93) | (9) | (474) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 27,754 | 7,681 | 24,667 | 4,784 | 8,727 | 1,365 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 1,180.0 | 523.3 | 1,080.0 | 339.3 | 499.2 | 30.2 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 23.52 | 14.68 | 22.84 | 14.10 | 17.48 | 45.15 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 23.52 | 14.68 | 22.84 | 14.10 | 17.48 | 45.15 | |
| Trading Currency | SAR | SAR | SAR | SAR | SAR | SAR | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |