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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM Revenue Multiple | 1,1x - 1,2x | 1,2x |
| Selected Fwd Revenue Multiple | 1,0x - 1,1x | 1,0x |
| Fair Value | 79,86﷼ - 90,70﷼ | 85,28﷼ |
| Upside | -12,4% - -0,5% | -6,5% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
|---|---|---|
| Abdullah Saad Mohammed Abo Moati for Bookstores Company | 4191 | SASE:4191 |
| Aldrees Petroleum and Transport Services Company | 4200 | SASE:4200 |
| Al-Fakhera Men's Tailoring Company | 9618 | SASE:9618 |
| Al Majed for Oud Company | 4165 | SASE:4165 |
| Saudi Company for Hardware SACO | 4008 | SASE:4008 |
| United Electronics Company | 4003 | SASE:4003 |
| Select LTM Revenue Multiple | ||||||||
| Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
| 4191 | 4200 | 9618 | 4165 | 4008 | 4003 | |||
| SASE:4191 | SASE:4200 | SASE:9618 | SASE:4165 | SASE:4008 | SASE:4003 | |||
| Historical Revenue Growth | ||||||||
| 5Y CAGR | -3.1% | 27.7% | NM- | NM- | -7.4% | 5.7% | ||
| 3Y CAGR | 5.5% | 28.4% | NM- | NM- | -7.9% | 5.1% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | -2.3% | 30.0% | NM | 19.9% | 6.8% | 9.4% | ||
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | ||||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 7.8% | 3.5% | 18.3% | 21.4% | 0.5% | 7.2% | ||
| Prior Fiscal Year | 9.8% | 2.8% | 17.7% | 21.2% | -4.3% | 7.8% | ||
| Latest Fiscal Year | 10.0% | 2.7% | 20.7% | 19.3% | -0.5% | 9.0% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 9.5% | 2.7% | 16.3% | 19.3% | -0.5% | 9.0% | ||
| Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 3.00x | 0.87x | 2.46x | 3.56x | 1.63x | 1.29x | ||
| EV / LTM EBIT | 31.8x | 32.6x | 15.1x | 18.4x | -360.0x | 14.4x | ||
| Price / LTM Sales | 2.81x | 0.69x | 2.06x | 3.35x | 1.13x | 1.03x | ||
| Low | Mid | High | ||||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM Revenue | 0.87x | 2.46x | 3.56x | |||||
| Historical EV / LTM Revenue | 0.96x | 1.29x | 1.46x | |||||
| Selected EV / LTM Revenue | 1.12x | 1.18x | 1.24x | |||||
| (x) LTM Revenue | 6,781 | 6,781 | 6,781 | |||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 7,601 | 8,002 | 8,402 | |||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (1,763) | (1,763) | (1,763) | |||||
| (=) Equity Value | 5,838 | 6,238 | 6,638 | |||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 76.2 | 76.2 | 76.2 | |||||
| Implied Value Range | 76.58 | 81.83 | 87.08 | |||||
| FX Rate: SAR/SAR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | ||||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 76.58 | 81.83 | 87.08 | 91.20 | ||||
| Upside / (Downside) | -16.0% | -10.3% | -4.5% | |||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | 4191 | 4200 | 9618 | 4165 | 4008 | 4003 | |
| Enterprise Value | 807 | 16,963 | 249 | 3,294 | 1,621 | 8,716 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 30 | 272 | 7 | 30 | 17 | 476 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 5 | 488 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Debt | (83) | (4,223) | (48) | (223) | (522) | (1,905) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | (334) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 760 | 13,500 | 209 | 3,100 | 1,116 | 6,953 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 20.0 | 100.0 | 36.0 | 25.0 | 35.9 | 76.2 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 38.00 | 135.00 | 5.80 | 124.00 | 31.10 | 91.20 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 38.00 | 135.00 | 5.80 | 124.00 | 31.10 | 91.20 | |
| Trading Currency | SAR | SAR | SAR | SAR | SAR | SAR | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |