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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 9,8x - 10,8x | 10,3x |
| Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 6,9x - 7,6x | 7,2x |
| Fair Value | 1,77$ - 1,96$ | 1,86$ |
| Upside | -4,5% - 5,6% | 0,6% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Sinotruk (Hong Kong) Limited | 3808 | SEHK:3808 |
| Wärtsilä Oyj Abp | WRT1V | HLSE:WRT1V |
| AB Volvo (publ) | 0MHW | LSE:0MHW |
| Kirloskar Oil Engines Limited | 533293 | BSE:533293 |
| Cummins Inc. | CMI | NYSE:CMI |
| Weichai Power Co., Ltd. | WEIC.F | OTCPK:WEIC.F |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| 3808 | WRT1V | 0MHW | 533293 | CMI | WEIC.F | ||
| SEHK:3808 | HLSE:WRT1V | LSE:0MHW | BSE:533293 | NYSE:CMI | OTCPK:WEIC.F | ||
| Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 5.8% | 13.6% | 8.5% | 26.4% | 8.8% | 3.9% | |
| 3Y CAGR | 11.5% | 34.1% | 18.0% | 44.1% | 19.9% | 9.2% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 19.9% | 62.7% | -15.8% | 31.0% | 9.9% | 27.1% | |
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 6.6% | 5.6% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 5.3% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 7.1% | 6.9% | 14.6% | 12.6% | 10.1% | 6.0% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 7.7% | 10.5% | 12.9% | 15.4% | 11.1% | 7.5% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 7.7% | 10.5% | 12.9% | 16.7% | 11.1% | 7.5% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 0.35x | 1.23x | 1.22x | 2.35x | 1.29x | 0.62x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 3.8x | 10.6x | 8.6x | 12.8x | 9.1x | 4.9x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 4.6x | 11.8x | 9.5x | 14.0x | 11.6x | 8.2x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | 4.6x | 11.6x | 14.0x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBIT | 8.2x | 10.1x | 27.4x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 9.8x | 10.3x | 10.8x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBIT | 16,248 | 16,248 | 16,248 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 159,215 | 167,595 | 175,974 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (1,686) | (1,686) | (1,686) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 157,529 | 165,909 | 174,288 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 11,641.5 | 11,641.5 | 11,641.5 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 13.53 | 14.25 | 14.97 | ||||
| FX Rate: CNY/USD | 7.3 | 7.3 | 7.3 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 1.86 | 1.96 | 2.06 | 1.85 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | 0.2% | 5.5% | 10.8% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | 3808 | WRT1V | 0MHW | 533293 | CMI | WEIC.F | |
| Enterprise Value | 33,256 | 7,890 | 640,258 | 146,939 | 43,949 | 158,920 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 27,278 | 1,554 | 87,078 | 12,795 | 2,264 | 88,555 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 1,589 | 58 | 27,680 | 0 | 1,889 | 11,633 | |
| (-) Debt | (5,705) | (766) | (264,732) | (54,304) | (7,687) | (66,612) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | (7,992) | (6) | (3,312) | 0 | (1,037) | (35,262) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 48,426 | 8,730 | 486,972 | 105,429 | 39,378 | 157,234 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 2,761.0 | 589.1 | 2,033.5 | 145.2 | 137.7 | 11,641.5 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 17.54 | 14.82 | 239.48 | 726.20 | 285.88 | 13.51 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 0.94 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 7.28 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 18.68 | 14.82 | 239.48 | 726.20 | 285.88 | 1.85 | |
| Trading Currency | HKD | EUR | SEK | INR | USD | USD | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 0.94 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 7.28 | |