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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 127,4x - 140,8x | 134,1x |
| Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 5,2x - 5,8x | 5,5x |
| Fair Value | 0,11$ - 0,11$ | 0,11$ |
| Upside | -23,0% - -20,4% | -21,7% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Wanhua Chemical Group Co., Ltd. | 600309 | SHSE:600309 |
| DSM-Firmenich AG | DSFIR | ENXTAM:DSFIR |
| Huntsman Corporation | HTR | DB:HTR |
| Dow Inc. | DOW | NYSE:DOW |
| LyondellBasell Industries N.V. | LYB | NYSE:LYB |
| Sinopec Shanghai Petrochemical Company Limited | SPTJ.F | OTCPK:SPTJ.F |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| 600309 | DSFIR | HTR | DOW | LYB | SPTJ.F | ||
| SHSE:600309 | ENXTAM:DSFIR | DB:HTR | NYSE:DOW | NYSE:LYB | OTCPK:SPTJ.F | ||
| Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 7.4% | -8.8% | -28.8% | -10.0% | -7.8% | -48.4% | |
| 3Y CAGR | -16.7% | -10.5% | -52.5% | -34.9% | -28.1% | -71.6% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | -12.9% | 190.9% | -21.2% | -15.0% | -22.9% | 102.4% | |
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 14.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 9.0% | 10.4% | -0.9% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 11.8% | -5.3% | 1.7% | 5.9% | 8.7% | -1.9% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 9.9% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 0.0% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 9.9% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 0.0% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 1.57x | 1.91x | 0.64x | 0.68x | 0.57x | 0.14x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 10.2x | 15.3x | 10.7x | 5.7x | 5.6x | 6.7x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 15.9x | 47.9x | 47.4x | 13.0x | 8.3x | 296.8x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | 8.3x | 15.9x | 47.9x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBIT | -15.2x | -6.6x | 296.8x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 127.4x | 134.1x | 140.8x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBIT | 42 | 42 | 42 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 5,368 | 5,650 | 5,933 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | 14,022 | 14,022 | 14,022 | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 19,390 | 19,672 | 19,955 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 26,422.5 | 26,422.5 | 26,422.5 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 0.73 | 0.74 | 0.76 | ||||
| FX Rate: CNY/USD | 7.3 | 7.3 | 7.3 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 0.10 | 0.10 | 0.10 | 0.14 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | -28.6% | -27.6% | -26.5% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | 600309 | DSFIR | HTR | DOW | LYB | SPTJ.F | |
| Enterprise Value | 276,609 | 24,390 | 3,816 | 31,991 | 25,051 | 13,137 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 41,191 | 2,717 | 340 | 2,572 | 3,375 | 12,096 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 0 | 568 | 346 | 4,679 | 4,121 | 3,600 | |
| (-) Debt | (128,881) | (5,280) | (2,237) | (17,672) | (13,069) | (1,570) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 0 | (186) | (204) | (496) | (126) | (104) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 188,919 | 22,209 | 2,061 | 21,074 | 19,352 | 27,160 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 3,139.7 | 264.3 | 173.7 | 705.8 | 323.4 | 26,422.5 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 60.17 | 84.04 | 11.86 | 29.86 | 59.83 | 1.03 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.10 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 7.34 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 60.17 | 84.04 | 10.80 | 29.86 | 59.83 | 0.14 | |
| Trading Currency | CNY | EUR | EUR | USD | USD | USD | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.10 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 7.34 | |