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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM Revenue Multiple | 1,7x - 1,9x | 1,8x |
| Selected Fwd Revenue Multiple | 1,7x - 1,8x | 1,7x |
| Fair Value | 971,02₹ - 1.072₹ | 1.021₹ |
| Upside | -10,6% - -1,4% | -6,0% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
|---|---|---|
| Allcargo Gati Limited | ACLGATI | NSEI:ACLGATI |
| Mahindra Logistics Limited | MAHLOG | NSEI:MAHLOG |
| Blue Dart Express Limited | BLUEDART | NSEI:BLUEDART |
| Allcargo Logistics Limited | ALLCARGO | NSEI:ALLCARGO |
| ABC India Limited | 520123 | BSE:520123 |
| Transport Corporation of India Limited | TCI | NSEI:TCI |
| Select LTM Revenue Multiple | ||||||||
| Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
| ACLGATI | MAHLOG | BLUEDART | ALLCARGO | 520123 | TCI | |||
| NSEI:ACLGATI | NSEI:MAHLOG | NSEI:BLUEDART | NSEI:ALLCARGO | BSE:520123 | NSEI:TCI | |||
| Historical Revenue Growth | ||||||||
| 5Y CAGR | -1.8% | 7.4% | 10.7% | 13.8% | -1.4% | 7.9% | ||
| 3Y CAGR | 8.9% | 19.0% | 17.0% | 7.9% | -0.5% | 12.8% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | -1.6% | 12.4% | 9.0% | 18.5% | 8.7% | 11.9% | ||
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | ||||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | -0.5% | 1.3% | 9.1% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 7.7% | ||
| Prior Fiscal Year | 0.7% | 1.4% | 11.0% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 8.4% | ||
| Latest Fiscal Year | -1.0% | 0.4% | 8.1% | 0.7% | 2.8% | 7.4% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | -0.1% | 0.8% | 7.4% | 0.7% | 2.4% | 7.8% | ||
| Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 0.56x | 0.47x | 2.71x | 0.29x | 0.30x | 1.90x | ||
| EV / LTM EBIT | -411.0x | 61.1x | 36.4x | 44.4x | 12.1x | 24.4x | ||
| Price / LTM Sales | 0.49x | 0.33x | 2.59x | 0.19x | 0.29x | 1.92x | ||
| Low | Mid | High | ||||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM Revenue | 0.29x | 0.47x | 2.71x | |||||
| Historical EV / LTM Revenue | 0.65x | 1.31x | 1.58x | |||||
| Selected EV / LTM Revenue | 1.68x | 1.77x | 1.86x | |||||
| (x) LTM Revenue | 44,053 | 44,053 | 44,053 | |||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 74,089 | 77,988 | 81,888 | |||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | 1,153 | 1,153 | 1,153 | |||||
| (=) Equity Value | 75,242 | 79,141 | 83,041 | |||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 76.6 | 76.6 | 76.6 | |||||
| Implied Value Range | 982.16 | 1,033.06 | 1,083.96 | |||||
| FX Rate: INR/INR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | ||||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 982.16 | 1,033.06 | 1,083.96 | 1,086.60 | ||||
| Upside / (Downside) | -9.6% | -4.9% | -0.2% | |||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | ACLGATI | MAHLOG | BLUEDART | ALLCARGO | 520123 | TCI | |
| Enterprise Value | 8,853 | 27,652 | 147,648 | 42,211 | 505 | 82,090 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 1,865 | 248 | 4,518 | 8,102 | 169 | 3,370 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Debt | (2,421) | (8,359) | (10,966) | (21,941) | (187) | (2,217) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 8,297 | 19,540 | 141,200 | 28,373 | 487 | 83,243 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 147.1 | 72.1 | 23.7 | 982.8 | 5.4 | 76.6 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 56.42 | 270.90 | 5,950.80 | 28.87 | 89.89 | 1,086.60 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 56.42 | 270.90 | 5,950.80 | 28.87 | 89.89 | 1,086.60 | |
| Trading Currency | INR | INR | INR | INR | INR | INR | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |