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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM Revenue Multiple | 4,9x - 5,4x | 5,1x |
| Selected Fwd Revenue Multiple | 3,7x - 4,1x | 3,9x |
| Fair Value | 1.672₹ - 1.813₹ | 1.743₹ |
| Upside | -38,3% - -33,1% | -35,7% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
|---|---|---|
| Larsen & Toubro Limited | LT | NSEI:LT |
| Bharat Electronics Limited | BEL | NSEI:BEL |
| Garden Reach Shipbuilders & Engineers Limited | GRSE | NSEI:GRSE |
| CFF Fluid Control Limited | 543920 | BSE:543920 |
| Hindustan Aeronautics Limited | HAL | NSEI:HAL |
| Mazagon Dock Shipbuilders Limited | MAZDOCK | NSEI:MAZDOCK |
| Select LTM Revenue Multiple | ||||||||
| Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
| LT | BEL | GRSE | 543920 | HAL | MAZDOCK | |||
| NSEI:LT | NSEI:BEL | NSEI:GRSE | BSE:543920 | NSEI:HAL | NSEI:MAZDOCK | |||
| Historical Revenue Growth | ||||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 10.4% | 10.8% | 21.0% | NM- | 8.7% | 15.5% | ||
| 3Y CAGR | 17.4% | 12.8% | 46.6% | 94.5% | 9.9% | 32.7% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 16.8% | 27.5% | 40.0% | 39.8% | 14.0% | 34.6% | ||
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | ||||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 11.1% | 20.8% | 4.4% | 22.3% | 17.1% | 8.8% | ||
| Prior Fiscal Year | 10.9% | 20.8% | 4.5% | 24.2% | 16.5% | 9.3% | ||
| Latest Fiscal Year | 10.6% | 23.2% | 5.6% | 24.7% | 24.2% | 14.1% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 10.0% | 25.7% | 5.7% | 24.0% | 24.3% | 21.0% | ||
| Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 2.11x | 8.94x | 3.62x | 7.38x | 7.90x | 8.43x | ||
| EV / LTM EBIT | 21.1x | 34.8x | 62.9x | 30.7x | 32.6x | 40.1x | ||
| Price / LTM Sales | 1.77x | 9.30x | 4.41x | 7.25x | 8.81x | 9.62x | ||
| Low | Mid | High | ||||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM Revenue | 2.11x | 7.38x | 8.94x | |||||
| Historical EV / LTM Revenue | -0.91x | -0.26x | 2.82x | |||||
| Selected EV / LTM Revenue | 4.89x | 5.15x | 5.40x | |||||
| (x) LTM Revenue | 113,611 | 113,611 | 113,611 | |||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 555,519 | 584,757 | 613,995 | |||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | 135,579 | 135,579 | 135,579 | |||||
| (=) Equity Value | 691,099 | 720,336 | 749,574 | |||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 403.4 | 403.4 | 403.4 | |||||
| Implied Value Range | 1,713.27 | 1,785.75 | 1,858.23 | |||||
| FX Rate: INR/INR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | ||||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 1,713.27 | 1,785.75 | 1,858.23 | 2,710.60 | ||||
| Upside / (Downside) | -36.8% | -34.1% | -31.4% | |||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | LT | BEL | GRSE | 543920 | HAL | MAZDOCK | |
| Enterprise Value | 5,173,168 | 2,074,927 | 161,079 | 9,583 | 2,533,427 | 957,823 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 554,391 | 83,162 | 35,428 | 42 | 289,083 | 135,941 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Debt | (1,261,835) | (608) | (96) | (200) | (12) | (362) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 4,465,724 | 2,157,481 | 196,411 | 9,424 | 2,822,498 | 1,093,402 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 1,375.2 | 7,309.8 | 114.6 | 19.5 | 668.8 | 403.4 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 3,247.30 | 295.15 | 1,714.60 | 483.95 | 4,220.40 | 2,710.60 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 3,247.30 | 295.15 | 1,714.60 | 483.95 | 4,220.40 | 2,710.60 | |
| Trading Currency | INR | INR | INR | INR | INR | INR | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |