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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM Revenue Multiple | 1,7x - 1,9x | 1,8x |
| Selected Fwd Revenue Multiple | 1,3x - 1,5x | 1,4x |
| Fair Value | 180,52₹ - 206,15₹ | 193,34₹ |
| Upside | 4,9% - 19,8% | 12,3% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
|---|---|---|
| Marshall Machines Limited | MARSHALL | NSEI:MARSHALL |
| Macpower CNC Machines Limited | MACPOWER | NSEI:MACPOWER |
| Batliboi Limited | 522004 | BSE:522004 |
| LMW Limited | 500252 | BSE:500252 |
| Isgec Heavy Engineering Limited | 533033 | BSE:533033 |
| Lokesh Machines Limited | LOKESHMACH | NSEI:LOKESHMACH |
| Select LTM Revenue Multiple | ||||||||
| Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
| MARSHALL | MACPOWER | 522004 | 500252 | 533033 | LOKESHMACH | |||
| NSEI:MARSHALL | NSEI:MACPOWER | BSE:522004 | BSE:500252 | BSE:533033 | NSEI:LOKESHMACH | |||
| Historical Revenue Growth | ||||||||
| 5Y CAGR | -15.6% | 11.4% | 2.8% | 11.6% | 4.3% | 9.0% | ||
| 3Y CAGR | -25.3% | 28.8% | 23.5% | 39.6% | 4.7% | 25.0% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | -31.1% | 12.8% | 6.6% | -36.7% | 2.4% | -3.7% | ||
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | ||||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | -0.8% | 8.6% | 1.9% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 8.2% | ||
| Prior Fiscal Year | -21.1% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 8.2% | ||
| Latest Fiscal Year | -13.5% | 12.9% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 10.4% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | -20.4% | 13.5% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 6.3% | 7.6% | ||
| Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 2.58x | 3.20x | 1.20x | 5.33x | 1.41x | 1.66x | ||
| EV / LTM EBIT | -12.7x | 23.7x | 33.4x | 350.1x | 22.5x | 22.0x | ||
| Price / LTM Sales | 1.14x | 3.23x | 1.08x | 5.77x | 1.32x | 1.21x | ||
| Low | Mid | High | ||||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM Revenue | 1.20x | 2.58x | 5.33x | |||||
| Historical EV / LTM Revenue | 0.61x | 1.10x | 2.82x | |||||
| Selected EV / LTM Revenue | 1.72x | 1.81x | 1.90x | |||||
| (x) LTM Revenue | 2,700 | 2,700 | 2,700 | |||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 4,635 | 4,879 | 5,123 | |||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (1,220) | (1,220) | (1,220) | |||||
| (=) Equity Value | 3,415 | 3,659 | 3,903 | |||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 19.4 | 19.4 | 19.4 | |||||
| Implied Value Range | 176.50 | 189.11 | 201.72 | |||||
| FX Rate: INR/INR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | ||||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 176.50 | 189.11 | 201.72 | 172.12 | ||||
| Upside / (Downside) | 2.5% | 9.9% | 17.2% | |||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | MARSHALL | MACPOWER | 522004 | 500252 | 533033 | LOKESHMACH | |
| Enterprise Value | 682 | 8,100 | 3,553 | 165,605 | 91,138 | 4,551 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 4 | 84 | 316 | 13,948 | 2,748 | 88 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Debt | (384) | (30) | (659) | 0 | (7,207) | (1,308) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 302 | 8,154 | 3,209 | 179,553 | 86,680 | 3,331 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 23.9 | 10.0 | 34.3 | 10.7 | 73.7 | 19.4 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 12.64 | 815.05 | 93.54 | 16,807.40 | 1,175.65 | 172.12 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 12.64 | 815.05 | 93.54 | 16,807.40 | 1,175.65 | 172.12 | |
| Trading Currency | INR | INR | INR | INR | INR | INR | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |