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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM Revenue Multiple | 2,9x - 3,2x | 3,0x |
Selected Fwd Revenue Multiple | 2,3x - 2,5x | 2,4x |
Fair Value | 292,55₹ - 321,78₹ | 307,16₹ |
Upside | -20,7% - -12,7% | -16,7% |
Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
---|---|---|
Ingersoll-Rand (India) Limited | INGERRAND | NSEI:INGERRAND |
Jamna Auto Industries Limited | JAMNAAUTO | NSEI:JAMNAAUTO |
Kirloskar Oil Engines Limited | KIRLOSENG | NSEI:KIRLOSENG |
SKP Bearing Industries Limited | SKP | NSEI:SKP |
Vesuvius India Limited | VESUVIUS | NSEI:VESUVIUS |
Jupiter Wagons Limited | JWL | NSEI:JWL |
Select LTM Revenue Multiple | ||||||||
Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
INGERRAND | JAMNAAUTO | KIRLOSENG | SKP | VESUVIUS | JWL | |||
NSEI:INGERRAND | NSEI:JAMNAAUTO | NSEI:KIRLOSENG | NSEI:SKP | NSEI:VESUVIUS | NSEI:JWL | |||
Historical Revenue Growth | ||||||||
5Y CAGR | 10.4% | 2.6% | 10.2% | 4.9% | 16.1% | 76.0% | ||
3Y CAGR | 25.2% | 31.0% | 21.4% | 12.0% | 21.3% | 54.1% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | 9.4% | -6.1% | 11.2% | 21.0% | 16.6% | 24.5% | ||
Historical EBIT Profit Margin | ||||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 18.7% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 35.4% | 10.8% | 7.5% | ||
Prior Fiscal Year | 20.5% | 9.5% | 12.6% | 38.2% | 15.7% | 11.0% | ||
Latest Fiscal Year | 23.2% | 11.7% | 15.4% | 31.4% | 16.1% | 12.7% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | 25.4% | 11.5% | 16.7% | 16.2% | 16.1% | 13.0% | ||
Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
EV / LTM Revenue | 8.36x | 1.42x | 2.41x | 7.08x | 4.65x | 3.70x | ||
EV / LTM EBIT | 32.8x | 12.3x | 14.4x | 43.6x | 28.8x | 28.4x | ||
Price / LTM Sales | 8.57x | 1.35x | 1.75x | 6.57x | 4.90x | 3.86x | ||
Low | Mid | High | ||||||
Benchmark EV / LTM Revenue | 1.42x | 4.65x | 8.36x | |||||
Historical EV / LTM Revenue | 0.68x | 1.08x | 4.83x | |||||
Selected EV / LTM Revenue | 2.85x | 3.00x | 3.15x | |||||
(x) LTM Revenue | 40,341 | 40,341 | 40,341 | |||||
(=) Implied Enterprise Value | 115,133 | 121,192 | 127,252 | |||||
(-) Non-shareholder Claims * | 6,302 | 6,302 | 6,302 | |||||
(=) Equity Value | 121,435 | 127,494 | 133,554 | |||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 424.5 | 424.5 | 424.5 | |||||
Implied Value Range | 286.07 | 300.34 | 314.62 | |||||
FX Rate: INR/INR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | ||||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 286.07 | 300.34 | 314.62 | 368.80 | ||||
Upside / (Downside) | -22.4% | -18.6% | -14.7% |
Equity Waterfall | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | INGERRAND | JAMNAAUTO | KIRLOSENG | SKP | VESUVIUS | JWL | |
Enterprise Value | 106,830 | 31,605 | 146,489 | 4,124 | 83,079 | 150,253 | |
(+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 2,905 | 495 | 12,795 | 14 | 4,820 | 10,802 | |
(+) Investments & Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Debt | (45) | (2,188) | (54,304) | (320) | (134) | (4,500) | |
(-) Other Liabilities | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Value of Common Equity | 109,689 | 29,912 | 104,979 | 3,818 | 87,765 | 156,555 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 31.6 | 399.0 | 145.2 | 16.6 | 20.3 | 424.5 | |
Implied Stock Price | 3,474.70 | 74.97 | 723.10 | 230.00 | 4,324.25 | 368.80 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 3,474.70 | 74.97 | 723.10 | 230.00 | 4,324.25 | 368.80 | |
Trading Currency | INR | INR | INR | INR | INR | INR | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |