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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 34,7x - 38,4x | 36,6x |
Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 29,1x - 32,1x | 30,6x |
Fair Value | 2.221₹ - 2.442₹ | 2.331₹ |
Upside | -20,9% - -13,1% | -17,0% |
Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
Lupin Limited | 500257 | BSE:500257 |
Mankind Pharma Limited | 543904 | BSE:543904 |
Abbott India Limited | 500488 | BSE:500488 |
Alembic Pharmaceuticals Limited | 533573 | BSE:533573 |
Novartis India Limited | 500672 | BSE:500672 |
GlaxoSmithKline Pharmaceuticals Limited | GLAXO | NSEI:GLAXO |
- | - | - |
Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
500257 | 543904 | 500488 | 533573 | 500672 | GLAXO | ||
BSE:500257 | BSE:543904 | BSE:500488 | BSE:533573 | BSE:500672 | NSEI:GLAXO | ||
Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
5Y CAGR | 10.1% | 19.9% | 18.4% | -2.3% | 37.8% | 8.5% | |
3Y CAGR | 16.5% | 10.6% | 16.7% | -20.1% | 55.1% | 17.3% | |
Latest Twelve Months | 71.4% | 23.1% | 13.7% | 17.0% | 37.9% | 35.3% | |
Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 10.1% | 21.2% | 21.2% | 14.7% | 11.3% | 22.0% | |
Prior Fiscal Year | 5.1% | 18.2% | 21.1% | 7.7% | 15.9% | 23.0% | |
Latest Fiscal Year | 13.9% | 20.8% | 23.6% | 10.6% | 18.8% | 24.3% | |
Latest Twelve Months | 18.8% | 21.1% | 24.4% | 11.2% | 23.4% | 27.8% | |
Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
EV / LTM Revenue | 4.20x | 8.80x | 10.38x | 2.74x | 4.10x | 12.30x | |
EV / LTM EBITDA | 18.2x | 35.4x | 41.8x | 18.2x | 17.8x | 42.4x | |
EV / LTM EBIT | 22.3x | 41.7x | 42.6x | 24.5x | 17.6x | 44.2x | |
Low | Mid | High | |||||
Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | 17.6x | 24.5x | 42.6x | ||||
Historical EV / LTM EBIT | 28.2x | 35.1x | 41.1x | ||||
Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 34.7x | 36.6x | 38.4x | ||||
(x) LTM EBIT | 10,313 | 10,313 | 10,313 | ||||
(=) Implied Enterprise Value | 358,336 | 377,196 | 396,056 | ||||
(-) Non-shareholder Claims * | 20,960 | 20,960 | 20,960 | ||||
(=) Equity Value | 379,297 | 398,156 | 417,016 | ||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 169.4 | 169.4 | 169.4 | ||||
Implied Value Range | 2,238.98 | 2,350.31 | 2,461.64 | ||||
FX Rate: INR/INR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 2,238.98 | 2,350.31 | 2,461.64 | 2,809.30 | |||
Upside / (Downside) | -20.3% | -16.3% | -12.4% |
Equity Waterfall | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | 500257 | 543904 | 500488 | 533573 | 500672 | GLAXO | |
Enterprise Value | 939,845 | 1,020,170 | 647,999 | 177,563 | 14,821 | 454,952 | |
(+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 29,123 | 47,267 | 11,057 | 1,290 | 5,972 | 21,108 | |
(+) Investments & Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Debt | (34,425) | (4,821) | (605) | (10,664) | (60) | (148) | |
(-) Other Liabilities | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Value of Common Equity | 934,543 | 1,062,617 | 658,451 | 168,189 | 20,733 | 475,912 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 456.6 | 412.6 | 21.2 | 196.6 | 24.7 | 169.4 | |
Implied Stock Price | 2,046.90 | 2,575.55 | 30,986.95 | 855.65 | 839.70 | 2,809.30 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 2,046.90 | 2,575.55 | 30,986.95 | 855.65 | 839.70 | 2,809.30 | |
Trading Currency | INR | INR | INR | INR | INR | INR | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |