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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBITDA Multiple | 12,3x - 13,6x | 12,9x |
| Selected Fwd EBITDA Multiple | 9,5x - 10,5x | 10,0x |
| Fair Value | 71,34₹ - 79,77₹ | 75,55₹ |
| Upside | 13,4% - 26,8% | 20,1% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Western Carriers (India) Limited | WCIL | NSEI:WCIL |
| Container Corporation of India Limited | CONCOR | NSEI:CONCOR |
| Snowman Logistics Limited | SNOWMAN | NSEI:SNOWMAN |
| TCI Express Limited | TCIEXP | NSEI:TCIEXP |
| GMR Airports Limited | GMRAIRPORT | NSEI:GMRAIRPORT |
| Gateway Distriparks Limited | GATEWAY | NSEI:GATEWAY |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBITDA Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| WCIL | CONCOR | SNOWMAN | TCIEXP | GMRAIRPORT | GATEWAY | ||
| NSEI:WCIL | NSEI:CONCOR | NSEI:SNOWMAN | NSEI:TCIEXP | NSEI:GMRAIRPORT | NSEI:GATEWAY | ||
| Historical EBITDA Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | NM- | 0.7% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 33.8% | |
| 3Y CAGR | 21.9% | 24.6% | 16.6% | 10.6% | 26.9% | 3.3% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 11.5% | 6.3% | -4.2% | -28.2% | 59.9% | -13.1% | |
| Historical EBITDA Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 7.8% | 21.4% | 20.3% | 14.8% | 32.4% | 25.2% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 7.3% | 22.3% | 17.9% | 15.7% | 25.7% | 24.7% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 8.5% | 21.5% | 17.0% | 14.7% | 33.7% | 23.3% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 8.2% | 21.7% | 13.8% | 11.5% | 35.0% | 21.3% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 0.61x | 4.43x | 2.08x | 2.06x | 12.37x | 2.35x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 7.4x | 20.4x | 15.1x | 17.9x | 35.3x | 11.0x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 8.9x | 27.5x | 37.5x | 20.1x | 69.7x | 13.7x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBITDA | 7.4x | 17.9x | 35.3x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBITDA | 8.5x | 9.5x | 14.7x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBITDA | 12.3x | 12.9x | 13.6x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBITDA | 3,242 | 3,242 | 3,242 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 39,850 | 41,947 | 44,044 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (4,370) | (4,370) | (4,370) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 35,480 | 37,577 | 39,674 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 499.6 | 499.6 | 499.6 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 71.01 | 75.21 | 79.41 | ||||
| FX Rate: INR/INR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 71.01 | 75.21 | 79.41 | 62.91 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | 12.9% | 19.5% | 26.2% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | WCIL | CONCOR | SNOWMAN | TCIEXP | GMRAIRPORT | GATEWAY | |
| Enterprise Value | 10,539 | 396,351 | 11,307 | 24,878 | 1,222,969 | 35,802 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 288 | 38,878 | 46 | 1,059 | 40,124 | 432 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Debt | (2,904) | (9,150) | (3,073) | (89) | (358,822) | (4,801) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 7,924 | 426,080 | 8,281 | 25,847 | 904,271 | 31,433 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 102.0 | 609.3 | 167.1 | 38.4 | 10,559.0 | 499.6 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 77.72 | 699.30 | 49.56 | 673.45 | 85.64 | 62.91 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 77.72 | 699.30 | 49.56 | 673.45 | 85.64 | 62.91 | |
| Trading Currency | INR | INR | INR | INR | INR | INR | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |