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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM Revenue Multiple | 1,2x - 1,3x | 1,3x |
| Selected Fwd Revenue Multiple | 1,1x - 1,2x | 1,1x |
| Fair Value | 306,96₹ - 334,29₹ | 320,63₹ |
| Upside | -24,4% - -17,7% | -21,0% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
|---|---|---|
| Oil and Natural Gas Corporation Limited | ONGC | NSEI:ONGC |
| Gujarat Mineral Development Corporation Limited | GMDCLTD | NSEI:GMDCLTD |
| Reliance Industries Limited | RELIANCE | NSEI:RELIANCE |
| Whitehaven Coal Limited | WHC | ASX:WHC |
| China Shenhua Energy Company Limited | 1088 | SEHK:1088 |
| Coal India Limited | COALINDIA | NSEI:COALINDIA |
| Select LTM Revenue Multiple | ||||||||
| Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
| ONGC | GMDCLTD | RELIANCE | WHC | 1088 | COALINDIA | |||
| NSEI:ONGC | NSEI:GMDCLTD | NSEI:RELIANCE | ASX:WHC | SEHK:1088 | NSEI:COALINDIA | |||
| Historical Revenue Growth | ||||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 7.0% | 5.6% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | ||
| 3Y CAGR | 24.9% | 22.4% | 24.5% | 34.8% | 0.3% | 16.4% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 2.6% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 47.3% | -1.4% | -6.9% | ||
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | ||||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 9.1% | 15.9% | 11.7% | 29.7% | 26.2% | 22.8% | ||
| Prior Fiscal Year | 8.7% | 36.0% | 11.7% | 61.5% | 26.4% | 28.4% | ||
| Latest Fiscal Year | 12.5% | 22.4% | 12.4% | 25.3% | 26.1% | 30.6% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 9.5% | 20.1% | 11.8% | 17.2% | 26.1% | 29.2% | ||
| Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 0.80x | 2.85x | 2.02x | 1.03x | 1.83x | 1.68x | ||
| EV / LTM EBIT | 8.4x | 14.2x | 17.1x | 6.0x | 7.0x | 5.7x | ||
| Price / LTM Sales | 0.51x | 3.07x | 1.73x | 0.84x | 2.11x | 1.89x | ||
| Low | Mid | High | ||||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM Revenue | 0.80x | 1.83x | 2.85x | |||||
| Historical EV / LTM Revenue | 0.55x | 0.75x | 1.64x | |||||
| Selected EV / LTM Revenue | 1.21x | 1.28x | 1.34x | |||||
| (x) LTM Revenue | 1,320,101 | 1,320,101 | 1,320,101 | |||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 1,602,697 | 1,687,050 | 1,771,402 | |||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | 292,142 | 292,142 | 292,142 | |||||
| (=) Equity Value | 1,894,839 | 1,979,192 | 2,063,544 | |||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 6,162.7 | 6,162.7 | 6,162.7 | |||||
| Implied Value Range | 307.47 | 321.16 | 334.84 | |||||
| FX Rate: INR/INR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | ||||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 307.47 | 321.16 | 334.84 | 406.00 | ||||
| Upside / (Downside) | -24.3% | -20.9% | -17.5% | |||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | ONGC | GMDCLTD | RELIANCE | WHC | 1088 | COALINDIA | |
| Enterprise Value | 4,548,521 | 81,204 | 17,972,774 | 5,778 | 692,202 | 2,209,926 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 433,822 | 6,233 | 2,147,900 | 880 | 146,702 | 370,304 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 84 | 62,751 | 0 | |
| (-) Debt | (1,914,893) | (29) | (3,575,250) | (2,068) | (37,495) | (78,162) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | (77,667) | 0 | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 3,067,449 | 87,409 | 16,545,424 | 4,674 | 786,493 | 2,502,068 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 12,580.3 | 318.0 | 12,706.7 | 836.2 | 26,099.1 | 6,162.7 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 243.83 | 274.87 | 1,302.10 | 5.59 | 30.13 | 406.00 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.93 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 243.83 | 274.87 | 1,302.10 | 5.59 | 32.30 | 406.00 | |
| Trading Currency | INR | INR | INR | AUD | HKD | INR | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.93 | 1.00 | |