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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 25,1x - 27,8x | 26,4x |
| Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 20,1x - 22,2x | 21,1x |
| Fair Value | 563,18₹ - 627,60₹ | 595,39₹ |
| Upside | -29,4% - -21,4% | -25,4% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Bharat Petroleum Corporation Limited | BPCL | NSEI:BPCL |
| The Great Eastern Shipping Company Limited | GESHIP | NSEI:GESHIP |
| Oil and Natural Gas Corporation Limited | ONGC | NSEI:ONGC |
| Indian Oil Corporation Limited | IOC | NSEI:IOC |
| Mangalore Refinery and Petrochemicals Limited | MRPL | NSEI:MRPL |
| Aegis Logistics Limited | AEGISLOG | NSEI:AEGISLOG |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| BPCL | GESHIP | ONGC | IOC | MRPL | AEGISLOG | ||
| NSEI:BPCL | NSEI:GESHIP | NSEI:ONGC | NSEI:IOC | NSEI:MRPL | NSEI:AEGISLOG | ||
| Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 24.8% | 48.0% | 7.6% | 16.4% | 28.4% | 19.9% | |
| 3Y CAGR | 28.3% | 26.8% | 35.6% | 27.1% | NM- | 34.9% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | -49.0% | 14.9% | -22.5% | -76.0% | -73.0% | 22.7% | |
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 4.6% | 31.5% | 9.1% | 5.2% | 2.1% | 8.4% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 1.3% | 40.5% | 8.7% | 3.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 8.4% | 42.4% | 12.5% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 11.2% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 4.5% | 41.6% | 9.5% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 12.3% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 0.40x | 1.55x | 0.81x | 0.46x | 0.40x | 4.39x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 6.8x | 2.8x | 5.8x | 9.8x | 10.4x | 32.1x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 8.8x | 3.7x | 8.5x | 19.7x | 15.9x | 35.6x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | 3.7x | 8.8x | 19.7x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBIT | 18.3x | 24.3x | 34.8x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 25.1x | 26.4x | 27.8x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBIT | 8,512 | 8,512 | 8,512 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 213,851 | 225,107 | 236,362 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (17,159) | (17,159) | (17,159) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 196,692 | 207,948 | 219,203 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 351.0 | 351.0 | 351.0 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 560.38 | 592.44 | 624.51 | ||||
| FX Rate: INR/INR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 560.38 | 592.44 | 624.51 | 798.00 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | -29.8% | -25.8% | -21.7% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | BPCL | GESHIP | ONGC | IOC | MRPL | AEGISLOG | |
| Enterprise Value | 1,769,875 | 83,108 | 4,623,374 | 3,432,627 | 381,935 | 297,257 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 138,052 | 74,240 | 433,822 | 111,222 | 653 | 26,584 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Debt | (588,804) | (27,880) | (1,914,893) | (1,634,009) | (135,331) | (43,743) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 1,319,123 | 129,468 | 3,142,302 | 1,909,840 | 247,257 | 280,098 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 4,338.5 | 142.8 | 12,580.3 | 13,771.6 | 1,752.6 | 351.0 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 304.05 | 906.85 | 249.78 | 138.68 | 141.08 | 798.00 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 304.05 | 906.85 | 249.78 | 138.68 | 141.08 | 798.00 | |
| Trading Currency | INR | INR | INR | INR | INR | INR | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |