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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBITDA Multiple | 11,0x - 12,2x | 11,6x |
| Selected Fwd EBITDA Multiple | 11,2x - 12,3x | 11,7x |
| Fair Value | 17,56$ - 36,71$ | 27,14$ |
| Upside | -27,9% - 50,8% | 11,4% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Cracker Barrel Old Country Store, Inc. | CBRL | NasdaqGS:CBRL |
| Krispy Kreme, Inc. | DNUT | NasdaqGS:DNUT |
| Papa John's International, Inc. | PZZA | NasdaqGS:PZZA |
| Wingstop Inc. | WING | NasdaqGS:WING |
| Restaurant Brands International Inc. | QSR | NYSE:QSR |
| Jack in the Box Inc. | JACK | NasdaqGS:JACK |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBITDA Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| CBRL | DNUT | PZZA | WING | QSR | JACK | ||
| NasdaqGS:CBRL | NasdaqGS:DNUT | NasdaqGS:PZZA | NasdaqGS:WING | NYSE:QSR | NasdaqGS:JACK | ||
| Historical EBITDA Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | -13.9% | 4.1% | 31.6% | 30.9% | 3.2% | 4.6% | |
| 3Y CAGR | -10.5% | -3.7% | 4.7% | 33.4% | 6.8% | -0.3% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | -16.2% | -26.1% | 19.6% | 41.7% | 11.2% | -1.7% | |
| Historical EBITDA Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 7.0% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 27.6% | 35.0% | 22.9% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 6.9% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 28.5% | 33.2% | 19.7% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 5.3% | 7.3% | 12.8% | 29.7% | 30.8% | 20.8% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 5.3% | 7.3% | 12.8% | 29.7% | 30.8% | 20.4% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 0.57x | 1.21x | 1.04x | 12.16x | 4.40x | 2.29x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 10.7x | 16.5x | 8.1x | 41.0x | 14.3x | 11.2x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 28.6x | -176.8x | 11.0x | 45.8x | 15.9x | 14.1x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBITDA | 8.1x | 14.3x | 41.0x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBITDA | 12.4x | 13.0x | 18.1x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBITDA | 11.0x | 11.6x | 12.2x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBITDA | 317 | 317 | 317 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 3,500 | 3,684 | 3,868 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (3,098) | (3,098) | (3,098) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 402 | 586 | 770 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 18.9 | 18.9 | 18.9 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 21.31 | 31.08 | 40.85 | ||||
| FX Rate: USD/USD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 21.31 | 31.08 | 40.85 | 24.35 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | -12.5% | 27.7% | 67.8% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | CBRL | DNUT | PZZA | WING | QSR | JACK | |
| Enterprise Value | 2,001 | 2,012 | 2,136 | 7,610 | 36,680 | 3,557 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 10 | 29 | 38 | 316 | 1,335 | 75 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 0 | 91 | 0 | 0 | 307 | 0 | |
| (-) Debt | (1,183) | (1,353) | (971) | (1,265) | (15,926) | (3,173) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 0 | (30) | (16) | 0 | (1,733) | 0 | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 828 | 750 | 1,187 | 6,660 | 20,663 | 459 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 22.3 | 170.1 | 32.7 | 28.7 | 325.0 | 18.9 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 37.21 | 4.41 | 36.33 | 232.36 | 63.58 | 24.35 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 37.21 | 4.41 | 36.33 | 232.36 | 63.58 | 24.35 | |
| Trading Currency | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |