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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBITDA Multiple | 4,6x - 5,1x | 4,9x |
| Selected Fwd EBITDA Multiple | 4,5x - 5,0x | 4,7x |
| Fair Value | 7.895Rp - 9.436Rp | 8.666Rp |
| Upside | 7,4% - 28,4% | 17,9% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| PT Charoen Pokphand Indonesia Tbk | CPIN | IDX:CPIN |
| PT Hanjaya Mandala Sampoerna Tbk | HMSP | IDX:HMSP |
| PT Indofood CBP Sukses Makmur Tbk | ICBP | IDX:ICBP |
| PT Mayora Indah Tbk | MYOR | IDX:MYOR |
| PT Japfa Comfeed Indonesia Tbk | JPFA | IDX:JPFA |
| PT Indofood Sukses Makmur Tbk | INDF | IDX:INDF |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBITDA Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| CPIN | HMSP | ICBP | MYOR | JPFA | INDF | ||
| IDX:CPIN | IDX:HMSP | IDX:ICBP | IDX:MYOR | IDX:JPFA | IDX:INDF | ||
| Historical EBITDA Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 4.7% | -13.8% | 15.4% | 5.4% | 8.6% | 15.5% | |
| 3Y CAGR | 8.0% | -2.5% | 10.8% | 23.1% | 12.8% | 9.2% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 49.9% | -12.1% | 9.8% | -4.8% | 91.4% | 15.1% | |
| Historical EBITDA Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 11.3% | 23.4% | 23.0% | 13.1% | 8.9% | 20.6% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 7.9% | 18.6% | 24.0% | 16.3% | 6.3% | 21.2% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 10.8% | 16.2% | 24.7% | 13.5% | 11.1% | 23.6% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 10.8% | 16.2% | 24.7% | 13.5% | 11.1% | 23.6% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 1.06x | 1.21x | 2.18x | 1.53x | 0.55x | 1.06x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 9.8x | 7.5x | 8.8x | 11.3x | 4.9x | 4.5x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 12.1x | 8.4x | 9.7x | 14.1x | 5.9x | 5.2x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBITDA | 4.9x | 8.8x | 11.3x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBITDA | 4.5x | 5.8x | 8.6x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBITDA | 4.6x | 4.9x | 5.1x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBITDA | 27,268,795 | 27,268,795 | 27,268,795 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 126,307,317 | 132,955,071 | 139,602,824 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (59,184,055) | (59,184,055) | (59,184,055) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 67,123,262 | 73,771,016 | 80,418,769 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 8,780.4 | 8,780.4 | 8,780.4 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 7,644.65 | 8,401.76 | 9,158.87 | ||||
| FX Rate: IDR/IDR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 7,644.65 | 8,401.76 | 9,158.87 | 7,350.00 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | 4.0% | 14.3% | 24.6% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | CPIN | HMSP | ICBP | MYOR | JPFA | INDF | |
| Enterprise Value | 72,335,623 | 64,314,404 | 158,104,862 | 55,253,867 | 30,200,753 | 123,720,190 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 4,846,038 | 2,369,521 | 27,709,890 | 4,601,449 | 1,356,331 | 48,224,984 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 74,185 | 90,781 | 6,418,825 | 0 | 281,816 | 7,494,144 | |
| (-) Debt | (8,533,263) | (473,402) | (45,624,652) | (8,148,443) | (10,743,624) | (71,025,404) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | (14,963) | 0 | (21,826,509) | (281,864) | (1,095,684) | (43,877,779) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 68,707,620 | 66,301,304 | 124,782,416 | 51,425,009 | 19,999,592 | 64,536,135 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 16,398.0 | 116,318.1 | 11,661.9 | 22,358.7 | 11,627.7 | 8,780.4 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 4,190.00 | 570.00 | 10,700.00 | 2,300.00 | 1,720.00 | 7,350.00 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 4,190.00 | 570.00 | 10,700.00 | 2,300.00 | 1,720.00 | 7,350.00 | |
| Trading Currency | IDR | IDR | IDR | IDR | IDR | IDR | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |