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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 17,1x - 18,9x | 18,0x |
| Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 10,0x - 11,0x | 10,5x |
| Fair Value | 34,56₺ - 40,64₺ | 37,60₺ |
| Upside | -10,6% - 5,1% | -2,7% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Esenboga Elektrik Üretim A.S. | ESEN | IBSE:ESEN |
| Hun Yenilenebilir Enerji Üretim A.S. | HUNER | IBSE:HUNER |
| Mogan Enerji Yatirim Holding Anonim Sirketi | MOGAN | IBSE:MOGAN |
| Biotrend Cevre ve Enerji Yatirimlari A.S. | BIOEN | IBSE:BIOEN |
| Galata Wind Enerji A.S. | GWIND | IBSE:GWIND |
| Tatlipinar Enerji Uretim A.S. | TATEN | IBSE:TATEN |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| ESEN | HUNER | MOGAN | BIOEN | GWIND | TATEN | ||
| IBSE:ESEN | IBSE:HUNER | IBSE:MOGAN | IBSE:BIOEN | IBSE:GWIND | IBSE:TATEN | ||
| Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 84.8% | 96.4% | NM- | NM- | 44.2% | NM- | |
| 3Y CAGR | -34.2% | 92.4% | NM- | NM- | 40.8% | 70.3% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | -63.9% | 73.0% | -112.5% | -715.2% | -32.4% | 32.5% | |
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 28.6% | 30.5% | 12.5% | 10.7% | 61.9% | 47.5% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 9.4% | 36.2% | 14.7% | 1.9% | 55.0% | 55.1% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 4.0% | 41.6% | -2.6% | -13.7% | 42.2% | 50.3% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 4.0% | 41.6% | -2.6% | -13.7% | 42.2% | 50.3% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 12.19x | 7.23x | 4.57x | 4.70x | 6.48x | 8.84x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 39.3x | 12.6x | 8.3x | 50.1x | 9.5x | 13.1x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 306.3x | 17.4x | -174.2x | -34.4x | 15.3x | 17.6x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | -174.2x | 15.3x | 306.3x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBIT | 12.2x | 14.9x | 17.6x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 17.1x | 18.0x | 18.9x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBIT | 987 | 987 | 987 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 16,876 | 17,765 | 18,653 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (6,510) | (6,510) | (6,510) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 10,367 | 11,255 | 12,143 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 280.5 | 280.5 | 280.5 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 36.96 | 40.12 | 43.29 | ||||
| FX Rate: TRY/TRY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 36.96 | 40.12 | 43.29 | 38.66 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | -4.4% | 3.8% | 12.0% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | ESEN | HUNER | MOGAN | BIOEN | GWIND | TATEN | |
| Enterprise Value | 13,851 | 6,061 | 58,773 | 12,620 | 15,222 | 17,354 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 117 | 188 | 3,009 | 99 | 1,318 | 187 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 3,159 | 0 | 0 | 319 | 94 | 0 | |
| (-) Debt | (3,559) | (2,730) | (32,143) | (3,953) | (2,292) | (4,894) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | (2,830) | 1 | (9,240) | (10) | 0 | (1,803) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 10,738 | 3,520 | 20,399 | 9,075 | 14,342 | 10,844 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 260.0 | 1,000.0 | 2,440.1 | 500.0 | 540.0 | 280.5 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 41.30 | 3.52 | 8.36 | 18.15 | 26.56 | 38.66 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 41.30 | 3.52 | 8.36 | 18.15 | 26.56 | 38.66 | |
| Trading Currency | TRY | TRY | TRY | TRY | TRY | TRY | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |