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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBITDA Multiple | 6,9x - 7,6x | 7,3x |
| Selected Fwd EBITDA Multiple | 5,6x - 6,1x | 5,9x |
| Fair Value | 14,19₺ - 15,96₺ | 15,07₺ |
| Upside | -4,8% - 7,1% | 1,2% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Horoz Lojistik Kargo Hizmetleri ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi | HOROZ | IBSE:HOROZ |
| Platform Turizm Tasimacilik Gida Insaat Temizlik Hizmetleri Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi | PLTUR | IBSE:PLTUR |
| Trabzon Liman Isletmeciligi Anonim Sirketi | TLMAN | IBSE:TLMAN |
| Ege Gübre Sanayii A.S. | EGGUB | IBSE:EGGUB |
| Trans-Nationwide Express Plc | TRANSEXPR | NGSE:TRANSEXPR |
| Reysas Tasimacilik ve Lojistik Ticaret A.S. | RYSAS | IBSE:RYSAS |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBITDA Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| HOROZ | PLTUR | TLMAN | EGGUB | TRANSEXPR | RYSAS | ||
| IBSE:HOROZ | IBSE:PLTUR | IBSE:TLMAN | IBSE:EGGUB | NGSE:TRANSEXPR | IBSE:RYSAS | ||
| Historical EBITDA Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | NM- | NM- | 45.9% | 53.4% | NM- | 83.3% | |
| 3Y CAGR | NM- | 52.8% | 58.0% | 46.3% | NM- | 137.6% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 756.8% | 36.9% | -30.0% | -4.4% | -398.3% | 40.1% | |
| Historical EBITDA Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 1.6% | 25.7% | 50.9% | 27.1% | -6.5% | 38.8% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 1.8% | 19.8% | 46.8% | 26.0% | -4.7% | 35.8% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 14.2% | 24.4% | 35.3% | 32.3% | -47.4% | 42.0% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 14.2% | 24.4% | 35.3% | 32.3% | -47.4% | 42.0% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 0.68x | 1.48x | 2.63x | 2.53x | 3.38x | 3.07x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 4.8x | 6.1x | 7.4x | 7.8x | -7.1x | 7.3x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 19.5x | 6.2x | 13.8x | 12.3x | -5.9x | 7.4x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBITDA | -7.1x | 6.1x | 7.8x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBITDA | 7.1x | 7.9x | 12.7x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBITDA | 6.9x | 7.3x | 7.6x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBITDA | 4,849 | 4,849 | 4,849 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 33,491 | 35,253 | 37,016 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (5,298) | (5,298) | (5,298) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 28,193 | 29,955 | 31,718 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 2,000.0 | 2,000.0 | 2,000.0 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 14.10 | 14.98 | 15.86 | ||||
| FX Rate: TRY/TRY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 14.10 | 14.98 | 15.86 | 14.90 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | -5.4% | 0.5% | 6.4% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | HOROZ | PLTUR | TLMAN | EGGUB | TRANSEXPR | RYSAS | |
| Enterprise Value | 5,799 | 6,058 | 1,538 | 6,312 | 882 | 35,098 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 1,027 | 464 | 332 | 1,069 | 61 | 2,912 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 54 | 386 | |
| (-) Debt | (2,437) | (732) | (113) | (1,041) | 0 | (6,040) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | (2,556) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 4,389 | 5,791 | 1,757 | 6,340 | 996 | 29,800 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 90.5 | 244.8 | 21.0 | 100.0 | 498.2 | 2,000.0 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 48.50 | 23.66 | 83.65 | 63.40 | 2.00 | 14.90 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 48.50 | 23.66 | 83.65 | 63.40 | 2.00 | 14.90 | |
| Trading Currency | TRY | TRY | TRY | TRY | NGN | TRY | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |