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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM Revenue Multiple | 20,9x - 23,1x | 22,0x |
Selected Fwd Revenue Multiple | 19,7x - 21,8x | 20,8x |
Fair Value | 17,09₺ - 18,90₺ | 17,99₺ |
Upside | -39,0% - -32,5% | -35,7% |
Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
---|---|---|
Pamukova Yenilenebilir Elektrik Uretim A.S. | PAMEL | IBSE:PAMEL |
Zorlu Enerji Elektrik Üretim A.S. | ZOREN | IBSE:ZOREN |
Kartal Yenilenebilir Enerji Uretim A.S. | KARYE | IBSE:KARYE |
Esenboga Elektrik Üretim A.S. | ESEN | IBSE:ESEN |
Tatlipinar Enerji Uretim A.S. | TATEN | IBSE:TATEN |
Margün Enerji Üretim Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. | MAGEN | IBSE:MAGEN |
Select LTM Revenue Multiple | ||||||||
Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
PAMEL | ZOREN | KARYE | ESEN | TATEN | MAGEN | |||
IBSE:PAMEL | IBSE:ZOREN | IBSE:KARYE | IBSE:ESEN | IBSE:TATEN | IBSE:MAGEN | |||
Historical Revenue Growth | ||||||||
5Y CAGR | 54.0% | 29.3% | 58.1% | 116.3% | NM- | NM- | ||
3Y CAGR | 93.4% | 36.6% | 63.3% | 27.0% | 87.0% | 30.6% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | -15.1% | -24.7% | 48.2% | -15.0% | 45.3% | 3.6% | ||
Historical EBIT Profit Margin | ||||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 169.3% | 11.2% | 41.3% | 28.6% | 47.5% | 28.7% | ||
Prior Fiscal Year | 202.2% | 6.3% | 18.3% | 9.4% | 55.1% | 19.8% | ||
Latest Fiscal Year | 109.8% | 3.9% | 39.3% | 4.0% | 50.3% | 5.2% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | 109.8% | 3.9% | 39.3% | 4.0% | 50.3% | 5.2% | ||
Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
EV / LTM Revenue | 39.23x | 1.88x | 4.90x | 11.33x | 8.46x | 34.39x | ||
EV / LTM EBIT | 35.7x | 47.7x | 12.5x | 284.8x | 16.8x | 655.7x | ||
Price / LTM Sales | 39.19x | 0.58x | 3.63x | 8.59x | 5.14x | 34.26x | ||
Low | Mid | High | ||||||
Benchmark EV / LTM Revenue | 1.88x | 8.46x | 39.23x | |||||
Historical EV / LTM Revenue | 7.94x | 18.46x | 34.39x | |||||
Selected EV / LTM Revenue | 20.94x | 22.04x | 23.14x | |||||
(x) LTM Revenue | 1,135 | 1,135 | 1,135 | |||||
(=) Implied Enterprise Value | 23,757 | 25,007 | 26,258 | |||||
(-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (147) | (147) | (147) | |||||
(=) Equity Value | 23,609 | 24,860 | 26,110 | |||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 1,367.8 | 1,367.8 | 1,367.8 | |||||
Implied Value Range | 17.26 | 18.17 | 19.09 | |||||
FX Rate: TRY/TRY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | ||||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 17.26 | 18.17 | 19.09 | 28.00 | ||||
Upside / (Downside) | -38.4% | -35.1% | -31.8% |
Equity Waterfall | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | PAMEL | ZOREN | KARYE | ESEN | TATEN | MAGEN | |
Enterprise Value | 2,587 | 55,986 | 1,925 | 12,863 | 16,804 | 38,446 | |
(+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 2 | 1,542 | 55 | 117 | 187 | 115 | |
(+) Investments & Other | 0 | 5,752 | 0 | 3,159 | 0 | 3,159 | |
(-) Debt | (4) | (45,729) | (546) | (3,559) | (4,894) | (3,422) | |
(-) Other Liabilities | 0 | (0) | 0 | (2,830) | (1,803) | 0 | |
(-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Value of Common Equity | 2,584 | 17,550 | 1,434 | 9,750 | 10,294 | 38,299 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 31.1 | 5,000.0 | 55.0 | 260.0 | 280.5 | 1,367.8 | |
Implied Stock Price | 83.10 | 3.51 | 26.08 | 37.50 | 36.70 | 28.00 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 83.10 | 3.51 | 26.08 | 37.50 | 36.70 | 28.00 | |
Trading Currency | TRY | TRY | TRY | TRY | TRY | TRY | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |