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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | -128,6x - -142,2x | -135,4x |
| Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 4,1x - 4,5x | 4,3x |
| Fair Value | 75,96₺ - 84,55₺ | 80,26₺ |
| Upside | -4,8% - 6,0% | 0,6% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Yukselen Celik Anonim Sirketi | YKSLN | IBSE:YKSLN |
| Iskenderun Demir ve Çelik A.S. | ISDMR | IBSE:ISDMR |
| Erciyas Çelik Boru Sanayi A.S. | ERCB | IBSE:ERCB |
| Çemtas Çelik Makina Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. | CEMTS | IBSE:CEMTS |
| Bms Celik Hasir Sanayi Ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi | BMSCH | IBSE:BMSCH |
| Koza Anadolu Metal Madencilik Isletmeleri A.S. | KOZAA | IBSE:KOZAA |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| YKSLN | ISDMR | ERCB | CEMTS | BMSCH | KOZAA | ||
| IBSE:YKSLN | IBSE:ISDMR | IBSE:ERCB | IBSE:CEMTS | IBSE:BMSCH | IBSE:KOZAA | ||
| Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 45.9% | 20.1% | 47.5% | 60.9% | NM- | NM- | |
| 3Y CAGR | -4.6% | -21.6% | 44.7% | 3.8% | NM- | NM- | |
| Latest Twelve Months | -39.4% | 27.3% | -6.6% | -54.9% | -255.2% | -128.2% | |
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 16.4% | 16.2% | 10.8% | 15.3% | 3.2% | 34.0% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 12.7% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 12.2% | 3.3% | 6.0% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 10.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.9% | -7.0% | -2.3% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 10.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.9% | -7.0% | -2.3% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 1.39x | 1.01x | 1.39x | 1.03x | 0.75x | 3.54x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | NA | 10.7x | 16.2x | 9.3x | -13.1x | 28.4x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 13.8x | 17.4x | 26.8x | 15.0x | -10.7x | -155.5x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | -10.7x | 15.0x | 26.8x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBIT | -155.5x | 2.6x | 7.3x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBIT | -128.6x | -135.4x | -142.2x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBIT | (210) | (210) | (210) | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 27,067 | 28,492 | 29,916 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (2,208) | (2,208) | (2,208) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 24,859 | 26,284 | 27,709 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 388.1 | 388.1 | 388.1 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 64.06 | 67.73 | 71.40 | ||||
| FX Rate: TRY/TRY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 64.06 | 67.73 | 71.40 | 79.80 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | -19.7% | -15.1% | -10.5% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | YKSLN | ISDMR | ERCB | CEMTS | BMSCH | KOZAA | |
| Enterprise Value | 2,185 | 113,927 | 10,136 | 5,778 | 1,741 | 33,177 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 30 | 18,969 | 430 | 1,205 | 114 | 10,976 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 1 | 1,350 | 1 | 265 | 0 | 2,474 | |
| (-) Debt | (668) | (33,036) | (4,251) | (653) | (434) | (26) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 0 | 0 | 31 | 0 | 0 | (15,632) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 1,548 | 101,210 | 6,346 | 6,595 | 1,420 | 30,969 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 250.0 | 2,900.0 | 77.8 | 500.0 | 100.0 | 388.1 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 6.19 | 34.90 | 81.60 | 13.19 | 14.20 | 79.80 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 6.19 | 34.90 | 81.60 | 13.19 | 14.20 | 79.80 | |
| Trading Currency | TRY | TRY | TRY | TRY | TRY | TRY | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |