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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBITDA Multiple | 19,6x - 21,7x | 20,6x |
| Selected Fwd EBITDA Multiple | 14,2x - 15,7x | 15,0x |
| Fair Value | 16,44₺ - 18,17₺ | 17,31₺ |
| Upside | 25,1% - 38,3% | 31,7% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Tatlipinar Enerji Uretim A.S. | TATEN | IBSE:TATEN |
| Galata Wind Enerji A.S. | GWIND | IBSE:GWIND |
| Enda Enerji Holding A.S. | ENDAE | IBSE:ENDAE |
| Hun Yenilenebilir Enerji Üretim A.S. | HUNER | IBSE:HUNER |
| IC Enterra Yenilenebilir Enerji A.S. | ENTRA | IBSE:ENTRA |
| Birlesim Grup Enerji Yatirimlari A.S. | BIGEN | IBSE:BIGEN |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBITDA Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| TATEN | GWIND | ENDAE | HUNER | ENTRA | BIGEN | ||
| IBSE:TATEN | IBSE:GWIND | IBSE:ENDAE | IBSE:HUNER | IBSE:ENTRA | IBSE:BIGEN | ||
| Historical EBITDA Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | NM- | 52.8% | 18.5% | NM- | NM- | NM- | |
| 3Y CAGR | 78.2% | 56.5% | 25.6% | 88.1% | 17.1% | NM- | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 37.3% | -20.7% | -33.2% | 43.9% | -35.0% | NM | |
| Historical EBITDA Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 64.0% | 78.0% | 50.5% | 48.7% | 75.9% | 51.1% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 71.5% | 75.7% | 43.6% | 60.3% | 79.9% | 49.6% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 67.6% | 68.1% | 37.3% | 57.6% | 70.5% | 51.1% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 67.6% | 68.1% | 37.3% | 57.6% | 70.5% | 49.3% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 8.82x | 6.44x | 7.48x | 7.24x | 9.66x | 9.62x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 13.0x | 9.4x | 20.1x | 12.6x | 13.7x | 19.5x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 17.6x | 15.2x | 119.3x | 17.4x | 63.8x | 30.7x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBITDA | 9.4x | 13.0x | 20.1x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBITDA | 0.0x | NM | 0.0x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBITDA | 19.6x | 20.6x | 21.7x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBITDA | 511 | 511 | 511 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 10,019 | 10,547 | 11,074 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 10,019 | 10,547 | 11,074 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 577.0 | 577.0 | 577.0 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 17.36 | 18.28 | 19.19 | ||||
| FX Rate: TRY/TRY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 17.36 | 18.28 | 19.19 | 13.14 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | 32.2% | 39.1% | 46.1% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | TATEN | GWIND | ENDAE | HUNER | ENTRA | BIGEN | |
| Enterprise Value | 17,331 | 14,952 | 9,195 | 6,081 | 29,567 | 7,582 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 187 | 1,318 | 376 | 188 | 1,397 | 0 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 0 | 94 | 5 | 0 | 111 | 0 | |
| (-) Debt | (4,894) | (2,292) | (570) | (2,730) | (12,071) | 0 | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | (1,803) | 0 | (2,574) | 1 | (0) | 0 | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 10,822 | 14,072 | 6,431 | 3,540 | 19,004 | 7,582 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 280.5 | 540.0 | 437.2 | 1,000.0 | 1,845.0 | 577.0 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 38.58 | 26.06 | 14.71 | 3.54 | 10.30 | 13.14 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 38.58 | 26.06 | 14.71 | 3.54 | 10.30 | 13.14 | |
| Trading Currency | TRY | TRY | TRY | TRY | TRY | TRY | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |