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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM Revenue Multiple | 0,1x - 0,1x | 0,1x |
| Selected Fwd Revenue Multiple | 0,1x - 0,1x | 0,1x |
| Fair Value | 30,33€ - 34,68€ | 32,51€ |
| Upside | 15,8% - 32,4% | 24,1% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
|---|---|---|
| Chevron Corporation | CVX | NYSE:CVX |
| TotalEnergies SE | TTE | NYSE:TTE |
| Shell plc | SHEL | NYSE:SHEL |
| Repsol, S.A. | REPY.F | OTCPK:REPY.F |
| Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras | PBR.A | NYSE:PBR.A |
| World Kinect Corporation | WFK | DB:WFK |
| Select LTM Revenue Multiple | ||||||||
| Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
| CVX | TTE | SHEL | REPY.F | PBR.A | WFK | |||
| NYSE:CVX | NYSE:TTE | NYSE:SHEL | OTCPK:REPY.F | NYSE:PBR.A | DB:WFK | |||
| Historical Revenue Growth | ||||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 7.0% | 2.1% | -3.8% | 3.9% | 13.2% | 2.8% | ||
| 3Y CAGR | 8.0% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 10.4% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 0.4% | -10.7% | -10.2% | -3.3% | -4.1% | -11.6% | ||
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | ||||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 9.6% | 12.1% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 38.7% | 0.6% | ||
| Prior Fiscal Year | 13.8% | 13.7% | 10.9% | 8.7% | 39.8% | 0.6% | ||
| Latest Fiscal Year | 11.9% | 13.2% | 11.8% | 5.6% | 31.7% | 0.6% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 11.9% | 13.2% | 11.8% | 5.6% | 31.7% | 0.6% | ||
| Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 1.38x | 0.67x | 0.82x | 0.34x | 1.69x | 0.05x | ||
| EV / LTM EBIT | 11.6x | 5.1x | 7.0x | 6.1x | 5.3x | 9.3x | ||
| Price / LTM Sales | 1.50x | 0.74x | 0.77x | 0.28x | 1.03x | 0.04x | ||
| Low | Mid | High | ||||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM Revenue | 0.34x | 0.82x | 1.69x | |||||
| Historical EV / LTM Revenue | 0.04x | 0.05x | 0.09x | |||||
| Selected EV / LTM Revenue | 0.06x | 0.07x | 0.07x | |||||
| (x) LTM Revenue | 42,168 | 42,168 | 42,168 | |||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 2,697 | 2,839 | 2,981 | |||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (681) | (681) | (681) | |||||
| (=) Equity Value | 2,015 | 2,157 | 2,299 | |||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 56.7 | 56.7 | 56.7 | |||||
| Implied Value Range | 35.51 | 38.02 | 40.52 | |||||
| FX Rate: USD/EUR | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.1 | Market Price | ||||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 32.73 | 35.04 | 37.34 | 26.20 | ||||
| Upside / (Downside) | 24.9% | 33.7% | 42.5% | |||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | CVX | TTE | SHEL | REPY.F | PBR.A | WFK | |
| Enterprise Value | 272,905 | 130,468 | 231,255 | 17,153 | 830,093 | 2,294 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 6,785 | 32,758 | 39,110 | 7,036 | 46,651 | 383 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 47,438 | 38,375 | 25,700 | 4,766 | 7,686 | 0 | |
| (-) Debt | (29,611) | (54,221) | (77,142) | (12,373) | (373,467) | (1,057) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | (839) | (2,397) | (1,861) | (2,610) | (1,508) | (7) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 296,678 | 144,983 | 217,062 | 13,972 | 509,455 | 1,613 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 1,760.6 | 2,248.1 | 2,971.4 | 1,157.2 | 6,796.3 | 56.7 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 168.51 | 64.49 | 73.05 | 12.07 | 74.96 | 28.43 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.92 | 5.70 | 1.08 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 168.51 | 64.49 | 73.05 | 13.10 | 13.16 | 26.20 | |
| Trading Currency | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | EUR | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.92 | 5.70 | 1.08 | |