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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBITDA Multiple | 10,4x - 11,5x | 10,9x |
| Selected Fwd EBITDA Multiple | 8,3x - 9,2x | 8,8x |
| Fair Value | 109,51€ - 123,22€ | 116,37€ |
| Upside | 7,2% - 20,6% | 13,9% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. | CHRW | NasdaqGS:CHRW |
| Expeditors International of Washington, Inc. | EXPD | NYSE:EXPD |
| FedEx Corporation | FDX | NYSE:FDX |
| GXO Logistics, Inc. | GXO | NYSE:GXO |
| Forward Air Corporation | FWRD | NasdaqGS:FWRD |
| United Parcel Service, Inc. | UPAB | DB:UPAB |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBITDA Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| CHRW | EXPD | FDX | GXO | FWRD | UPAB | ||
| NasdaqGS:CHRW | NYSE:EXPD | NYSE:FDX | NYSE:GXO | NasdaqGS:FWRD | DB:UPAB | ||
| Historical EBITDA Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | -2.7% | 6.2% | 17.9% | 11.8% | 5.0% | 2.7% | |
| 3Y CAGR | -12.7% | -17.5% | -1.4% | 11.5% | 1.5% | -9.8% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 28.8% | 9.4% | -2.4% | 8.4% | -6.3% | -9.2% | |
| Historical EBITDA Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 4.6% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 7.5% | 12.2% | 14.8% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 3.4% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 7.7% | 14.6% | 14.1% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 4.3% | 10.4% | 12.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 12.8% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 4.3% | 10.4% | 12.5% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 12.8% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 0.78x | 1.52x | 1.02x | 0.81x | 1.11x | 1.23x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 18.0x | 14.6x | 8.2x | 11.6x | 14.7x | 9.7x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 19.3x | 15.4x | 13.5x | 23.6x | 58.6x | 14.0x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBITDA | 8.2x | 14.6x | 18.0x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBITDA | 9.6x | 11.2x | 15.1x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBITDA | 10.4x | 10.9x | 11.5x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBITDA | 11,620 | 11,620 | 11,620 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 120,575 | 126,921 | 133,268 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (19,013) | (19,013) | (19,013) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 101,562 | 107,908 | 114,255 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 847.5 | 847.5 | 847.5 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 119.83 | 127.32 | 134.81 | ||||
| FX Rate: USD/EUR | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.1 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 110.79 | 117.71 | 124.63 | 102.16 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | 8.4% | 15.2% | 22.0% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | CHRW | EXPD | FDX | GXO | FWRD | UPAB | |
| Enterprise Value | 13,600 | 15,950 | 89,290 | 9,491 | 2,755 | 112,668 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 146 | 1,148 | 5,207 | 413 | 105 | 6,318 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 0 | 0 | 447 | 3 | 0 | 346 | |
| (-) Debt | (1,741) | (569) | (37,031) | (5,176) | (2,146) | (25,652) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 0 | (3) | 0 | (32) | (84) | (25) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 12,005 | 16,527 | 57,913 | 4,699 | 630 | 93,655 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 118.7 | 138.0 | 239.6 | 119.5 | 30.4 | 847.5 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 101.13 | 119.73 | 241.71 | 39.32 | 20.72 | 110.50 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.08 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 101.13 | 119.73 | 241.71 | 39.32 | 20.72 | 102.16 | |
| Trading Currency | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | EUR | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.08 | |