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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBITDA Multiple | 4,2x - 4,7x | 4,4x |
| Selected Fwd EBITDA Multiple | 4,1x - 4,5x | 4,3x |
| Fair Value | 15,97€ - 17,73€ | 16,85€ |
| Upside | -9,3% - 0,7% | -4,3% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Lear Corporation | LEA | NYSE:LEA |
| Continental Aktiengesellschaft | CTTA.F | OTCPK:CTTA.F |
| Dong Feng Electronic Technology Co.,Ltd. | 600081 | SHSE:600081 |
| HELLA GmbH & Co. KGaA | HLE | DB:HLE |
| Bosch Limited | 500530 | BSE:500530 |
| Sumitomo Electric Industries, Ltd. | SMO | DB:SMO |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBITDA Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| LEA | CTTA.F | 600081 | HLE | 500530 | SMO | ||
| NYSE:LEA | OTCPK:CTTA.F | SHSE:600081 | DB:HLE | BSE:500530 | DB:SMO | ||
| Historical EBITDA Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | -1.4% | -5.4% | -4.8% | -1.6% | -1.0% | 6.4% | |
| 3Y CAGR | 6.6% | 2.0% | -11.3% | 5.2% | 21.4% | 15.8% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | -0.6% | 6.1% | 25.2% | -12.1% | 7.8% | 13.9% | |
| Historical EBITDA Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 7.0% | 10.5% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 12.7% | 9.5% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 7.1% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 10.5% | 12.6% | 9.3% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 7.1% | 10.2% | 5.6% | 9.2% | 12.6% | 9.8% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 7.1% | 10.2% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 13.3% | 10.8% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 0.33x | 0.46x | 0.47x | 1.18x | 4.52x | 0.49x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 4.7x | 4.5x | 7.5x | 12.9x | 34.1x | 4.5x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 7.5x | 8.1x | 17.0x | 32.9x | 42.5x | 7.9x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBITDA | 4.5x | 7.5x | 34.1x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBITDA | 3.3x | 4.2x | 5.2x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBITDA | 4.2x | 4.4x | 4.7x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBITDA | 499,158 | 499,158 | 499,158 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 2,102,703 | 2,213,372 | 2,324,041 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (98,209) | (98,209) | (98,209) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 2,004,494 | 2,115,163 | 2,225,832 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 779.9 | 779.9 | 779.9 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 2,570.32 | 2,712.23 | 2,854.13 | ||||
| FX Rate: JPY/EUR | 161.9 | 161.9 | 161.9 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 15.88 | 16.75 | 17.63 | 17.60 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | -9.8% | -4.8% | 0.2% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | LEA | CTTA.F | 600081 | HLE | 500530 | SMO | |
| Enterprise Value | 7,718 | 18,096 | 3,737 | 9,386 | 793,275 | 2,320,439 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 1,060 | 2,966 | 3,237 | 1,402 | 35,092 | 338,849 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 94 | 434 | 1,616 | 174 | 0 | 642,248 | |
| (-) Debt | (3,497) | (6,909) | (519) | (1,203) | (314) | (837,968) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | (149) | (447) | (898) | (47) | 0 | (241,338) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 5,225 | 14,140 | 7,173 | 9,711 | 828,053 | 2,222,230 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 53.6 | 200.0 | 553.0 | 111.1 | 29.5 | 779.9 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 97.41 | 70.70 | 12.97 | 87.40 | 28,075.65 | 2,849.52 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 0.93 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 161.90 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 97.41 | 76.02 | 12.97 | 87.40 | 28,075.65 | 17.60 | |
| Trading Currency | USD | USD | CNY | EUR | INR | EUR | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 0.93 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 161.90 | |