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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM Revenue Multiple | 4,4x - 4,8x | 4,6x |
| Selected Fwd Revenue Multiple | 2,8x - 3,0x | 2,9x |
| Fair Value | 42,93€ - 45,96€ | 44,45€ |
| Upside | -26,6% - -21,4% | -24,0% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
|---|---|---|
| GREE Holdings, Inc. | 3632 | TSE:3632 |
| Koei Tecmo Holdings Co., Ltd. | 3635 | TSE:3635 |
| Konami Group Corporation | 9766 | TSE:9766 |
| COLOPL, Inc. | 3668 | TSE:3668 |
| DeNA Co., Ltd. | 2432 | TSE:2432 |
| Nintendo Co., Ltd. | NTO | DB:NTO |
| Select LTM Revenue Multiple | ||||||||
| Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
| 3632 | 3635 | 9766 | 3668 | 2432 | NTO | |||
| TSE:3632 | TSE:3635 | TSE:9766 | TSE:3668 | TSE:2432 | DB:NTO | |||
| Historical Revenue Growth | ||||||||
| 5Y CAGR | -2.9% | 16.8% | 6.5% | -7.8% | 2.0% | 6.8% | ||
| 3Y CAGR | 2.6% | 11.9% | 9.7% | -11.2% | -0.1% | -1.7% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | -17.3% | -15.6% | 22.8% | -12.9% | 8.5% | -27.5% | ||
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | ||||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 11.2% | 41.3% | 20.0% | 12.9% | 8.0% | 32.4% | ||
| Prior Fiscal Year | 16.6% | 49.9% | 14.7% | 8.6% | 3.7% | 31.5% | ||
| Latest Fiscal Year | 9.8% | 33.7% | 22.3% | -4.6% | 0.5% | 31.6% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 10.1% | 30.6% | 26.9% | -6.3% | 29.7% | 25.3% | ||
| Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 0.62x | 6.44x | 5.22x | -0.03x | 1.96x | 7.28x | ||
| EV / LTM EBIT | 6.1x | 21.1x | 19.4x | 0.4x | 6.6x | 28.8x | ||
| Price / LTM Sales | 1.56x | 8.79x | 5.72x | 2.26x | 2.46x | 9.42x | ||
| Low | Mid | High | ||||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM Revenue | -0.03x | 1.96x | 6.44x | |||||
| Historical EV / LTM Revenue | 2.29x | 3.18x | 4.17x | |||||
| Selected EV / LTM Revenue | 4.38x | 4.61x | 4.84x | |||||
| (x) LTM Revenue | 1,233,287 | 1,233,287 | 1,233,287 | |||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 5,405,313 | 5,689,804 | 5,974,294 | |||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | 2,638,901 | 2,638,901 | 2,638,901 | |||||
| (=) Equity Value | 8,044,214 | 8,328,705 | 8,613,195 | |||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 1,164.2 | 1,164.2 | 1,164.2 | |||||
| Implied Value Range | 6,909.36 | 7,153.72 | 7,398.07 | |||||
| FX Rate: JPY/EUR | 160.9 | 160.9 | 160.9 | Market Price | ||||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 42.94 | 44.46 | 45.98 | 58.50 | ||||
| Upside / (Downside) | -26.6% | -24.0% | -21.4% | |||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | 3632 | 3635 | 9766 | 3668 | 2432 | NTO | |
| Enterprise Value | 58,780 | 489,904 | 2,175,423 | (698) | 292,577 | 8,320,332 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 39,811 | 35,947 | 285,694 | 59,598 | 73,677 | 2,154,084 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 11,707 | 151,618 | 6,445 | 0 | 57,351 | 485,922 | |
| (-) Debt | (16,700) | (9,000) | (76,316) | (833) | (46,584) | 0 | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | (89) | 0 | (16) | (7) | (9,952) | (1,105) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 93,509 | 668,469 | 2,391,230 | 58,060 | 367,069 | 10,959,233 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 171.3 | 315.8 | 135.6 | 128.5 | 111.4 | 1,164.2 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 546.00 | 2,116.50 | 17,640.00 | 452.00 | 3,296.00 | 9,413.14 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 160.91 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 546.00 | 2,116.50 | 17,640.00 | 452.00 | 3,296.00 | 58.50 | |
| Trading Currency | JPY | JPY | JPY | JPY | JPY | EUR | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 160.91 | |