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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBITDA Multiple | 61,5x - 68,0x | 64,7x |
| Selected Fwd EBITDA Multiple | 4,1x - 4,5x | 4,3x |
| Fair Value | 0,95€ - 1,20€ | 1,08€ |
| Upside | 19,6% - 51,2% | 35,4% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Volvo Car AB (publ.) | 0AAK | LSE:0AAK |
| Polestar Automotive Holding UK PLC | PSNY.W | NasdaqGM:PSNY.W |
| Ford Motor Company | 0P4F | LSE:0P4F |
| Bayerische Motoren Werke Aktiengesellschaft | 0O0U | LSE:0O0U |
| Mercedes-Benz Group AG | 0NXX | LSE:0NXX |
| Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings plc | A5SA | DB:A5SA |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBITDA Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| 0AAK | PSNY.W | 0P4F | 0O0U | 0NXX | A5SA | ||
| LSE:0AAK | NasdaqGM:PSNY.W | LSE:0P4F | LSE:0O0U | LSE:0NXX | DB:A5SA | ||
| Historical EBITDA Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 11.2% | NM- | 5.2% | 6.1% | 16.5% | 6.2% | |
| 3Y CAGR | 12.4% | NM- | -4.4% | -1.1% | -4.3% | NM- | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 4.7% | -81.7% | -7.1% | -29.6% | -21.6% | 54.9% | |
| Historical EBITDA Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 8.7% | -52.5% | 7.2% | 13.4% | 12.1% | -4.5% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 9.3% | -33.0% | 6.8% | 15.5% | 14.0% | 1.2% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 9.7% | -61.1% | 6.0% | 11.9% | 11.5% | 1.9% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 9.7% | -71.7% | 6.0% | 11.9% | 11.5% | 1.9% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 0.06x | 2.76x | 0.89x | 1.01x | 0.93x | 1.10x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 0.6x | -3.8x | 14.9x | 8.4x | 8.1x | 58.0x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 0.8x | -3.8x | 31.6x | 12.6x | 10.7x | -20.5x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBITDA | -3.8x | 8.1x | 14.9x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBITDA | -129.2x | 58.0x | 326.8x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBITDA | 61.5x | 64.7x | 68.0x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBITDA | 30 | 30 | 30 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 1,839 | 1,936 | 2,033 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (1,125) | (1,125) | (1,125) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 715 | 812 | 908 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 936.3 | 936.3 | 936.3 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 0.76 | 0.87 | 0.97 | ||||
| FX Rate: GBP/EUR | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.8 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 0.91 | 1.04 | 1.16 | 0.80 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | 14.8% | 30.4% | 45.9% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | 0AAK | PSNY.W | 0P4F | 0O0U | 0NXX | A5SA | |
| Enterprise Value | 22,678 | 6,715 | 164,269 | 143,486 | 135,810 | 1,747 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 56,373 | 669 | 28,370 | 16,184 | 18,610 | 360 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 21,751 | 2 | 6,691 | 1,652 | 13,105 | 51 | |
| (-) Debt | (39,295) | (4,031) | (160,862) | (111,261) | (112,798) | (1,522) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | (4,738) | 0 | (23) | (2,688) | (1,005) | (13) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 56,769 | 3,355 | 38,445 | 47,373 | 53,722 | 622 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 2,974.5 | 18,517.4 | 3,963.4 | 622.3 | 962.1 | 936.3 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 19.09 | 0.18 | 9.70 | 76.13 | 55.84 | 0.66 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.84 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 19.09 | 0.18 | 9.70 | 76.13 | 55.84 | 0.80 | |
| Trading Currency | SEK | USD | USD | EUR | EUR | EUR | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.84 | |