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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 8,9x - 9,8x | 9,3x |
| Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 6,1x - 6,7x | 6,4x |
| Fair Value | 59,03R$ - 67,59R$ | 63,31R$ |
| Upside | -7,1% - 6,3% | -0,4% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Newmont Corporation | NEM | NYSE:NEM |
| Southern Copper Corporation | SCCO | NYSE:SCCO |
| AngloGold Ashanti plc | AU | NYSE:AU |
| Alcoa Corporation | AA | NYSE:AA |
| South32 Limited | SHTL.F | OTCPK:SHTL.F |
| Freeport-McMoRan Inc. | FCXO34 | BOVESPA:FCXO34 |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| NEM | SCCO | AU | AA | SHTL.F | FCXO34 | ||
| NYSE:NEM | NYSE:SCCO | NYSE:AU | NYSE:AA | OTCPK:SHTL.F | BOVESPA:FCXO34 | ||
| Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 27.8% | 15.1% | 20.8% | 4.3% | -43.6% | 62.1% | |
| 3Y CAGR | 43.6% | -2.9% | 24.6% | -23.7% | -58.8% | -6.1% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 734.7% | 32.5% | 164.3% | 1556.1% | 350.9% | 11.1% | |
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 18.3% | 45.0% | 21.2% | 7.6% | 13.8% | 25.5% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 6.0% | 42.4% | 13.0% | -0.7% | 4.9% | 27.3% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 31.6% | 48.6% | 27.1% | 7.8% | 1.0% | 27.3% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 31.6% | 48.6% | 27.1% | 13.1% | 8.8% | 27.3% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 3.35x | 6.32x | 4.11x | 0.52x | 1.15x | 2.53x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 7.1x | 11.2x | 10.5x | 2.9x | 6.9x | 6.7x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 10.6x | 13.0x | 15.2x | 4.0x | 13.0x | 9.3x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | 4.0x | 13.0x | 15.2x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBIT | 8.4x | 10.1x | 42.4x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 8.9x | 9.3x | 9.8x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBIT | 6,941 | 6,941 | 6,941 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 61,510 | 64,747 | 67,984 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (16,556) | (16,556) | (16,556) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 44,954 | 48,191 | 51,428 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 4,320.1 | 4,320.1 | 4,320.1 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 10.41 | 11.16 | 11.90 | ||||
| FX Rate: USD/BRL | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 60.43 | 64.78 | 69.13 | 63.56 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | -4.9% | 1.9% | 8.8% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | NEM | SCCO | AU | AA | SHTL.F | FCXO34 | |
| Enterprise Value | 62,971 | 72,430 | 24,269 | 6,615 | 8,498 | 63,838 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 3,640 | 3,503 | 1,425 | 1,202 | 1,600 | 3,923 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 4,471 | 112 | 584 | 1,011 | 662 | 456 | |
| (-) Debt | (9,059) | (6,998) | (2,153) | (2,693) | (1,647) | (9,738) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | (181) | (67) | (1,884) | (103) | (13) | (11,197) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 61,842 | 68,981 | 22,241 | 6,032 | 9,100 | 47,282 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 1,120.1 | 796.2 | 503.5 | 258.9 | 5,112.3 | 4,320.1 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 55.21 | 86.64 | 44.17 | 23.30 | 1.78 | 10.94 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.17 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 55.21 | 86.64 | 44.17 | 23.30 | 1.78 | 63.56 | |
| Trading Currency | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | BRL | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.17 | |