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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBITDA Multiple | -358,2x - -395,9x | -377,0x |
| Selected Fwd EBITDA Multiple | 13,3x - 14,7x | 14,0x |
| Fair Value | 2.464ARS - 2.763ARS | 2.613ARS |
| Upside | -50,7% - -44,7% | -47,7% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| S.A. San Miguel A.G.I.C.I. y F. | SAMI | BASE:SAMI |
| Compañía Introductora de Buenos Aires S.A. | INTR | BASE:INTR |
| Inversora Juramento S.A. | INVJ | BASE:INVJ |
| Adecoagro S.A. | ADGO | BASE:ADGO |
| Carlos Casado S.A. | CADO | BASE:CADO |
| Molinos Rio de la Plata S.A. | MOLI5 | BASE:MOLI5 |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBITDA Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| SAMI | INTR | INVJ | ADGO | CADO | MOLI5 | ||
| BASE:SAMI | BASE:INTR | BASE:INVJ | BASE:ADGO | BASE:CADO | BASE:MOLI5 | ||
| Historical EBITDA Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 38.0% | 94.6% | 102.0% | 7.7% | 58.6% | NM- | |
| 3Y CAGR | NM- | 124.8% | 105.1% | -1.8% | NM- | NM- | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 312.9% | 40.2% | 117.1% | 5.9% | -263.0% | -101.5% | |
| Historical EBITDA Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | -3.0% | 15.7% | 16.7% | 34.1% | -64.5% | 6.7% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 6.2% | 9.0% | 17.3% | 31.0% | -27.7% | 9.0% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 7.2% | 20.4% | 22.3% | 28.1% | 36.7% | -0.1% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 7.2% | 21.3% | 23.0% | 28.1% | -652.7% | -0.1% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 4.00x | 0.86x | 2.55x | 1.36x | 137.21x | 1.01x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 55.5x | 4.1x | 11.1x | 4.8x | -21.0x | -686.4x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | -76.0x | 4.7x | 12.5x | 10.2x | -20.0x | -45.4x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBITDA | -21.0x | 4.8x | 55.5x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBITDA | -686.4x | 3.9x | 9.4x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBITDA | -358.2x | -377.0x | -395.9x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBITDA | (1,296) | (1,296) | (1,296) | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 464,221 | 488,653 | 513,086 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (65,098) | (65,098) | (65,098) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 399,123 | 423,555 | 447,988 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 177.1 | 177.1 | 177.1 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 2,254.07 | 2,392.06 | 2,530.04 | ||||
| FX Rate: ARS/ARS | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 2,254.07 | 2,392.06 | 2,530.04 | 5,000.00 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | -54.9% | -52.2% | -49.4% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | SAMI | INTR | INVJ | ADGO | CADO | MOLI5 | |
| Enterprise Value | 407,631 | 46,341 | 259,204 | 2,020 | 67,768 | 950,435 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 61,010 | 6,202 | 8,917 | 211 | 128 | 30,124 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 499 | 32,122 | |
| (-) Debt | (321,791) | (5,763) | (26,356) | (1,122) | (4,700) | (127,344) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | (2,198) | (707) | (51) | (39) | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 144,651 | 46,073 | 241,714 | 1,071 | 63,694 | 885,337 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 1,485.1 | 121.1 | 707.8 | 78.0 | 123.2 | 177.1 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 97.40 | 380.50 | 341.50 | 13.72 | 517.00 | 5,000.00 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 97.40 | 380.50 | 341.50 | 14,725.00 | 517.00 | 5,000.00 | |
| Trading Currency | ARS | ARS | ARS | ARS | ARS | ARS | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |